# Crypto Commentator Says Binance Could Recoup $3 Billion Theft Loss in a Year

By Token Post

Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/insights/44196
Published: 2026-10-30T03:31:37.000Z
Updated: 2026-10-30T03:31:37.000Z
Section: Insights & Views

> The estimate uses a 50% profit margin on projected annual revenue of $16 billion to $17 billion and compares the loss with 2025 BNB burns.

Crypto commentator 加密无畏 (@cryptobraveHQ) estimates Binance’s loss from a theft at about $3 billion and argues the exchange could recover that amount in less than a year.

The calculation uses Binance revenue estimates of $16 billion to $17 billion for both 2024 and 2025 and assumes a 50% profit margin. That produces estimated annual profit of about $8 billion to $8.5 billion.

加密无畏 also uses Coinbase’s latest profit margin, about 59%, as a comparison point, while applying the lower 50% margin to Binance. The recovery claim rests on those revenue and margin assumptions.

The commentary makes a second comparison with BNB burns, putting their value at about $4.4 billion to $4.5 billion in 2025. On that basis, the $3 billion estimate equals roughly eight to nine months of BNB burn value.

The loss figure is an estimate, and the recovery window follows from the assumptions in the calculation.