# Prediction Market Prices Lutnick's Jan. 1 Exit Odds at 51.5% By Token Post Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/insights/57421 Published: 2026-11-14T14:45:43.000Z Updated: 2026-11-14T14:45:43.000Z Section: Insights & Views > A separate contract tied to a Dec. 1 departure deadline was priced at 20.5%. A prediction-market contract on Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick leaving by Jan. 1, 2027, was priced at 51.5%. A separate contract tied to a Dec. 1 departure deadline was priced at 20.5%; the contracts have different deadlines and describe separate outcomes. The market prices come amid scrutiny of U.S. export controls on advanced chips. Lutnick [held back proposed restrictions on Nvidia chip sales to China after Oval Office discussions](). The Entity List is a Commerce Department trade blacklist that can sharply limit a foreign company’s access to sensitive U.S. technology. ## Links in this article - [held back proposed restrictions on Nvidia chip sales to China after Oval Office discussions](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/regulation/55152)