# Polymarket Puts Bitcoin’s October Odds at 56% for a $90,000 Touch

By Enna Lee

Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/26939
Published: 2026-10-06T03:36:23.000Z
Updated: 2026-10-06T03:36:23.000Z
Section: Investing

> The probability fell 10% in 24 hours. A separate contract put the chance of Bitcoin reaching $87,500 at 77%.

Polymarket’s October contract put the chance of Bitcoin reaching $90,000 at 56%, down 10% in 24 hours, while a separate contract priced the chance of a $87,500 touch at 77%.

The $87,500 probability also fell 10% over the same 24-hour period. The contracts cover whether Bitcoin (BTC) reaches either threshold at any point during October, rather than its closing price for the month.

Both markets use the highest price recorded in Binance’s BTC/USDT one-minute candles from 12 a.m. ET on Oct. 1 through 11:59 p.m. ET on Oct. 31. A candle high at or above a contract’s target settles it as “yes”; prices on other exchanges or trading pairs do not count.