# Bitcoin’s 2026 Odds of Reaching $100,000 Rise to 40% By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/28361 Published: 2026-10-08T17:32:31.000Z Updated: 2026-10-08T17:32:31.000Z Section: Investing > Bitcoin traded near $84,000, down about 2% in 24 hours, as the probability remained below even odds. Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $84,000 as prediction markets assigned a 40% probability that it will reach $100,000 before the end of 2026, keeping the benchmark below even odds. The latest probability is slightly above the 39% level in [earlier coverage of Bitcoin’s 2026 $100,000 odds](). The contracts measure market expectations about whether Bitcoin will reach a specified price rather than provide a formal price forecast. For some traders, reclaiming $100,000 would signal that Bitcoin’s prolonged downturn has given way to a sustained recovery. Bitcoin was down about 2% over the previous 24 hours as October’s early trading remained slow and somewhat bearish, with limited evidence of sustained upward momentum. Crypto analyst Ted Pillows said spot demand and rising leverage could limit Bitcoin’s ability to make a decisive move before the end of the year. He expects the current setup to be followed by a correction and sideways trading around a previous support level before bulls build enough momentum for a decisive move. Pillows is not entirely bearish on Bitcoin, but expects the cryptocurrency to absorb additional downward pressure before moving higher again. Other analysts expect a stronger finish to 2026 that could prime the market for a potential early-2027 bull market. The next three weeks are expected to draw traders’ attention as markets track whether Bitcoin can build momentum toward the $100,000 threshold. ## Links in this article - [earlier coverage of Bitcoin’s 2026 $100,000 odds](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/25291)