{"id":"tp-32712","type":"article-newspaper","title":"Polymarket Puts U.S. Invasion of Iran Odds at 16.5% Under Narrow Contract Rules","author":"Enna Lee","publisher":"TOKENPOST Inc.","url":"https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/32712","datePublished":"2026-10-15T19:21:23.000Z","dateModified":"2026-10-15T19:21:23.000Z","language":"en","abstract":"A “Yes” requires a U.S. offensive aimed at taking control of part of Iran by the end of 2026; a ceasefire breakdown alone does not qualify.","section":"Investing","references":[]}