# XRP’s year-end $2 odds rise 2 points in a day to 20% By John Kim Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/33939 Published: 2026-10-17T11:04:41.000Z Updated: 2026-10-17T11:04:41.000Z Section: Investing > XRP’s odds of reaching $2 by year-end rose 2 percentage points to 20%. Bitcoin’s year-end $100,000 probability stood at 24%, while Ether’s chance of reaching $3,500 was 16%. Prediction-market odds of XRP reaching $2 by year-end rose 2 percentage points in a day to 20%. Bitcoin’s chance of topping $100,000 by year-end stood at 24%, while its odds of reaching $87,500 by the end of October were 32%. Year-end probabilities diverged across the three major cryptocurrencies. As of Oct. 17, the market put bitcoin’s chance of reaching $100,000 by year-end at 24%, down 1 percentage point from a day earlier. The probability of reaching the higher $120,000 threshold was 7%. Ether’s probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end slipped 1 percentage point to 16%, while XRP’s chance of hitting $2 rose 2 points to 20%. XRP’s year-end outlook has fluctuated sharply in recent weeks. The probability reached 61% on Sept. 23 before falling to 20%. Near-term expectations also weakened. Bitcoin’s chance of reaching $87,500 by the end of October fell 9 percentage points in a day to 32%, while the probability of hitting $90,000 stood at 18%. Ether had a 9% chance of reaching $3,000 by the end of October. XRP’s highest near-term probability was 16% for reaching $1.60. Bitcoin was trading at $81,564, down 0.7%. Ether stood at $2,436.32 after falling 1.02%, while XRP traded at $1.31, down 2.6%. This article is based on market data and chart analysis and does not constitute investment advice. [Majors ahead]()