# XRP’s year-end $2 odds fall 7 points in a day to 22% By John Kim Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/34710 Published: 2026-10-19T11:05:21.000Z Updated: 2026-10-19T11:05:21.000Z Section: Investing > XRP’s year-end odds of reaching $2 fell 7 percentage points to 22%. Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end was 24%, while Ether’s odds of hitting $3,500 rose to 16%. XRP’s probability of reaching $2 by year-end fell 7 percentage points in a day to 22%. Bitcoin’s odds of exceeding $100,000 by year-end stood at 24%, while the probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 37%. Prediction-market expectations for year-end price targets diverged across the three major cryptocurrencies. As of 10:45 UTC on Oct. 19, Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end was 24%, down 1 percentage point from the previous day. The odds of reaching the higher $120,000 target were 7%. Ether’s probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end rose 2 percentage points in a day to 16%, while XRP’s odds of reaching $2 dropped 7 points to 22%. XRP’s year-end outlook has fluctuated sharply in recent weeks. The probability stood at 32% on Aug. 21, climbed as high as 61% on Sept. 23 and has since fallen to 22%. Near-term expectations were also subdued. Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 37%, while the odds of reaching $90,000 were 18.5%. Ether had a 7% probability of reaching $3,000 by the end of October. XRP’s highest probability among the listed monthly targets was 13%, shared by $1.60 and $1.70. At the same time, Bitcoin was trading at $82,321, up 0.27% on the day. Ether rose 0.22% to $2,425.17, while XRP gained 0.4% to $1.30. Get cryptocurrency news in real time on Telegram This article is based on market data and chart analysis and does not constitute investment advice. [Majors ahead]()