# Markets Put October Fed Rate Hike Odds at 14.9% as Hold Odds Reach 85.1% By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/37489 Published: 2026-10-22T05:00:30.000Z Updated: 2026-10-22T05:00:30.000Z Section: Investing > The Oct. 22 market-implied reading put the chance of unchanged rates at 85.1%, up from 84.5% on Oct. 18. Market-implied pricing put the chance of a 25-basis-point increase in the Federal Reserve's October rate decision at 14.9% on Oct. 22. The probability of rates remaining unchanged was 85.1%. The [Oct. 18 market-pricing reading]() put the hike probability at 15.5% and the chance of no change at 84.5%. By Oct. 22, hike odds had fallen 0.6 percentage point, while the probability of unchanged rates had risen by the same amount. These figures describe market expectations, not a Federal Reserve decision or announcement. The Fed's next two-day meeting is scheduled for Oct. 27-28. ## Links in this article - [Oct. 18 market-pricing reading](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/34245)