# XRP year-end $2 odds rise 4 percentage points to 22% in prediction markets By John Kim Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/37757 Published: 2026-10-22T11:04:02.000Z Updated: 2026-10-22T11:04:02.000Z Section: Investing > XRP’s year-end $2 probability rose 4 percentage points to 22%, while Bitcoin’s $100,000 odds climbed to 27%. October probabilities declined across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP. Prediction markets put XRP’s probability of reaching $2 by year-end at 22%, up 4 percentage points in a day. Bitcoin’s year-end $100,000 probability stood at 27%, while its chances of reaching $87,500 by the end of October were 25%. Year-end probabilities rose for Bitcoin and XRP even as their prices declined, while near-term expectations weakened across all three assets. As of October 22, Bitcoin’s year-end $100,000 probability had risen 5 percentage points from the previous day to 27%. The probability attached to the higher $120,000 threshold was 5%. Ethereum’s probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end held at 17%. XRP’s year-end $2 probability increased to 22% from 18%. XRP’s year-end expectations have fluctuated sharply. Its $2 probability stood at 57% on August 24, reached 61% on September 23 and was at 22% in the latest reading. October expectations declined. Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $87,500 by month-end fell to 25% from 32% the previous day. The probability of reaching $90,000 stood at 13%. Ethereum’s probability of reaching $3,000 by the end of October fell to 3% from 7%. XRP’s $1.60 probability, the highest among its listed October thresholds, dropped to 9% from 14%. Bitcoin traded at $82,045, down 1.54%. Ethereum was at $2,406.54, down 1.87%, while XRP traded at $1.33, down 1.8%. [Majors ahead]()