# XRP year-end $2 odds hold at 24% as Bitcoin's $100,000 probability slips to 22% By John Kim Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/39885 Published: 2026-10-24T11:04:53.000Z Updated: 2026-10-24T11:04:53.000Z Section: Investing > XRP's year-end $2 probability held at 24%, while Bitcoin's $100,000 odds fell to 22%. Ethereum's year-end $3,500 probability slipped to 15%. Prediction markets put XRP's probability of reaching $2 by year-end at 24%, unchanged from the previous day. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 22%, while its probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 12%. Year-end expectations for Bitcoin and Ethereum weakened as all three cryptocurrencies traded lower. As of October 24, Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability was down 2 percentage points from the previous day. The probability at the higher $120,000 threshold stood at 6%. Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end also fell 2 percentage points to 15%. XRP's year-end $2 probability held at 24%. XRP's year-end odds have fluctuated sharply. The probability stood at 51% on August 26 and reached 61% on September 23, compared with the current 24%. For the end of October, Bitcoin's probability of reaching $87,500 fell to 12% from 24% the previous day. The higher $90,000 threshold carried a 7% probability. Ethereum's end-of-October $3,000 probability was 3%. XRP's $1.60 threshold had the highest probability among its listed October targets, at 9%. At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $80,586, down 1.27%. Ethereum was at $2,368.49, down 1.22%, while XRP traded at $1.28, down 2.98%. [Majors ahead]()