# Markets Put October Fed Hold Odds at 88.4% With Hike Odds at 11.6% By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/42317 Published: 2026-10-28T03:58:50.000Z Updated: 2026-10-28T03:58:50.000Z Section: Investing > The probabilities describe market expectations rather than a Federal Reserve decision. Market-implied odds put an 88.4% chance on the Federal Reserve holding rates at its October decision as of Oct. 28, while pricing left an 11.6% probability of a quarter-point increase. An [earlier market pricing update]() put hold odds at 85.1% and hike odds at 14.9%. An [Oct. 18 snapshot]() showed an 84.5% chance of a hold and a 15.5% chance of an increase. The percentages represent market expectations, not a Federal Reserve announcement or decision. The Fed's two-day meeting is scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday, Oct. 27-28. ## Links in this article - [earlier market pricing update](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/37489) - [Oct. 18 snapshot](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/34245)