# Oct. 28 Fed Pricing Put Hold Odds at 90.6%, December Hike at 78.4% By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/42847 Published: 2026-10-28T18:55:36.000Z Updated: 2026-10-28T18:55:36.000Z Section: Investing > The October decision was pending when the odds were recorded, and the chance of no December increase stood at 13.6%. Before the Oct. 28 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, market pricing put the probability of an October rate hold at 90.6%. The same snapshot assigned a 78.4% chance to a 25-basis-point increase in December. The odds were recorded four hours before the decision, while the Fed's October choice was still pending. The chance of no December increase stood at 13.6%. These percentages captured market expectations, not a Federal Reserve announcement or decision. An [earlier October market snapshot]() put hold odds at 88.4% and the probability of a rate increase at 11.6%. ## Links in this article - [earlier October market snapshot](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/42317)