# XRP year-end $2 odds fall 8.5 percentage points in a day to 20.5%

By John Kim

Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/44568
Published: 2026-10-30T11:01:17.000Z
Updated: 2026-10-30T11:01:17.000Z
Section: Investing

> XRP's year-end $2 probability fell to 20.5% from 29%. Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 odds dropped to 14%, while Ethereum's $3,500 probability rose to 11%.

Prediction-market odds of XRP reaching $2 by year-end fell 8.5 percentage points in a day to 20.5%. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 14%, while its chances of reaching $87,500 by the end of October were 2%.

Cryptocurrency prices declined as year-end expectations weakened for Bitcoin and XRP, although Ethereum's odds edged higher.

As of October 30, Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability was down 5 percentage points from the previous day. The probability at the higher $120,000 threshold stood at 4%.

Ethereum's odds of reaching $3,500 by year-end rose 2 percentage points to 11%. XRP's year-end $2 probability fell to 20.5% from 29%.

XRP's year-end expectations have fluctuated sharply. Its $2 probability stood at 44% on September 1, climbed to 61% on September 23 and has since fallen to 20.5%.

Month-end expectations remained low. Bitcoin's probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October stood at 2%, compared with 3% the previous day. The $90,000 threshold also carried a 2% probability.

Ethereum's month-end $3,000 probability held at 2%, while XRP's $1.60 probability slipped to 5% from 6%. These were the highest probabilities among the listed month-end thresholds for each asset.

At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $77,622, down 3.16% from the previous day. Ethereum stood at $2,244.43, down 3.31%, while XRP traded at $1.26, down 2.64%.

[Majors ahead](<https://target.tokenpost.kr/embed/reach?k=BTC&span=year&lang=en>)


