# Fed Rate Hike Odds for December Fall to 70.7% in Two Days By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/45563 Published: 2026-10-31T16:10:19.000Z Updated: 2026-10-31T16:10:19.000Z Section: Investing > The chance of no change stands at 29.3%, leaving a rate increase as the more likely outcome in market pricing. Market pricing assigns a 70.7% chance to a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase at the central bank’s December meeting, down from [79.6% two days earlier](). The implied probability of rates staying unchanged is 29.3%. A hike remains the more likely of the two outcomes in current market pricing. The 8.9-percentage-point drop reflects a change in expectations. These probabilities do not represent a Federal Reserve decision. ## Links in this article - [79.6% two days earlier](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/44010)