# Polymarket Puts Nvidia at 37% to End November as Top Company by Market Capitalization

By Enna Lee

Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/49225
Published: 2026-11-05T11:10:36.000Z
Updated: 2026-11-05T11:10:36.000Z
Section: Investing

> The contract uses market-cap rankings at the Nov. 30 close, not intraday highs, and settles by consensus among credible media reports.

Nvidia had a 37% probability of ending November as the world’s largest company by market capitalization at 6:01 a.m. ET (11:01 UTC) Thursday, Nov. 5. The probability had fallen 40% over the previous 24 hours.

The contract uses companies’ market-cap rankings at the Nov. 30 close. An intraday move to the top spot does not determine the result; Nvidia must have the highest market capitalization at the close.

The contract’s final settlement is based on a consensus of reports from credible media outlets. The 37% figure is the contract’s probability reading, not a settled outcome.