# Bitcoin Beat the S&P 500 in Half of 90 Sessions Through Nov. 4 By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/50128 Published: 2026-11-06T13:54:12.000Z Updated: 2026-11-06T13:54:12.000Z Section: Investing > Bitcoin’s rolling 90-session win rate returned to 50%. The S&P 500 averaged a 10.7% gain over three months after seven midterms when Democrats won both chambers under a Republican president. Bitcoin (BTC) outperformed the S&P 500 in half of U.S. trading sessions over the 90-session period through Nov. 4, ending a stretch in which it lost more sessions than it won. The 50% figure measures how often Bitcoin beat the index in a session, not its cumulative return over the full period. Bitcoin’s session win rate had not been above 50% since March 2025. Glassnode wrote, “Should the win rate climb above 50% and hold there, it would show Bitcoin regaining strength against equities.” A separate historical comparison covers seven of 26 U.S. midterm elections since 1922, excluding the 2026 election. In those seven cases, Democrats won both the House and Senate while a Republican was president. The S&P 500 gained an average of 10.7% in the following three months, 17.5% over six months and 15.5% over one year. After Democrats captured both chambers in 2026, U.S. markets rebounded from an overnight selloff tied to the results, while the CLARITY Act’s outlook faced uncertainty. The [market rebound and CLARITY Act uncertainty]() formed part of the immediate reaction to the election. ## Links in this article - [market rebound and CLARITY Act uncertainty](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/regulation/48781)