# Treasury Market Pricing Points to Chance of Five-Year Yield Below 4.10% Before 2027 By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/51270 Published: 2026-11-08T02:05:16.000Z Updated: 2026-11-08T02:05:16.000Z Section: Investing > Pre-release forecasts called for 59,000 October payroll additions and a 4.2% unemployment rate. Treasury market pricing indicated a chance that the five-year U.S. Treasury yield would fall below 4.10% before 2027, as traders awaited October employment data that could shape Federal Reserve policy expectations. Consensus forecasts called for 59,000 jobs added in October, compared with 29,000 in September, and an unemployment rate of 4.2%. The Federal Reserve had recently held rates steady as market participants adjusted expectations for a December rate hike. A weaker-than-expected jobs reading could have reinforced reduced expectations for further rate increases. Market participants were also watching for comments from Fed officials and other economic indicators that could shape future rate decisions. TokenPost previously covered [Treasury futures positioning ahead of inflation and jobs data](). ## Links in this article - [Treasury futures positioning ahead of inflation and jobs data](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/26075)