# Bitcoin (BTC) Fell After Seven Fed Hikes Since 2016 Following One-Meeting Pauses By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/51566 Published: 2026-11-08T11:39:21.000Z Updated: 2026-11-08T11:39:21.000Z Section: Investing > The median 30-day decline across those seven cycles was 2.4%. Market pricing put the odds of a Dec. 9 increase at 67.5% at 12:45 p.m. ET Nov. 5. Bitcoin (BTC) recorded losses in every 30-day period after a Federal Reserve rate increase that followed a single-meeting pause since 2016, a historical pattern relevant to the next policy decision. The median decline across the seven 30-day windows was 2.4%. The Fed raised rates Sept. 16, then left them unchanged Oct. 28. At 12:45 p.m. ET Nov. 5, prediction-market pricing put the chance of a Dec. 9 increase at 67.5%; that figure reflected expectations, not a Fed decision. The comparison covers seven rate increases that came after one meeting without a hike. Bitcoin’s 30-day return was negative in each case. The historical results describe past price action and do not establish how Bitcoin would respond to a future rate increase. The 2018 cycle had the closest timing match: two hikes were 84 days apart, the same interval between the Sept. 16 increase and the scheduled Dec. 9 decision this year. Bitcoin fell 42% from the 2018 midterm election to the December hike. The S&P 500 gained in three of the seven matching post-hike windows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs had $1.2 billion in outflows since early October. TokenPost previously examined [how an unexpected October hike could affect Bitcoin](). The Fed held rates at its Oct. 28 meeting, with its next scheduled decision set for Dec. 9. ## Links in this article - [how an unexpected October hike could affect Bitcoin](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/39544)