# XRP year-end $2 odds rise 1 percentage point to 12% in prediction markets

By John Kim

Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/52272
Published: 2026-11-09T12:05:32.000Z
Updated: 2026-11-09T12:05:32.000Z
Section: Investing

> XRP’s year-end $2 probability rose to 12% from 11%. Bitcoin’s year-end $100,000 odds fell to 9%, while Ethereum’s $3,500 odds dropped to 7%.

Prediction markets put XRP’s probability of reaching $2 by year-end at 12%, up 1 percentage point from the previous day. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 9%, while its probability of reaching $82,500 by the end of November was 30%.

Year-end price probabilities diverged across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

As of 12:05 UTC on November 9, Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end was 9%, down from 12% the previous day. The probability of reaching $120,000 stood at 2%.

Ethereum’s year-end probability of reaching $3,500 fell to 7% from 9% the previous day. XRP’s probability of reaching $2 rose to 12% from 11%.

XRP’s year-end $2 probability stood at 29% on September 11 and reached 61% on September 23 before falling to its current 12%.

Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $82,500 by the end of November fell to 30% from 35% the previous day. The probability of reaching $85,000 stood at 17%.

Ethereum’s probability of reaching $2,500 by the end of November was 23%, while XRP’s probability of reaching $1.40 was 11%. These were the highest probabilities among the November price thresholds listed for each asset.

At the same time, Bitcoin traded at $74,333, down 2.07% over the day. Ethereum traded at $2,112.01, down 5.67%, while XRP was at $1.08, down 7.34%.

[Majors ahead](<https://target.tokenpost.kr/embed/reach?k=BTC&span=year&card=1&lang=en>)


