# October PPI Data Lifts December Quarter-Point Fed Hike Odds to 91% By Enna Lee Canonical URL: https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/56743 Published: 2026-11-13T14:08:31.000Z Updated: 2026-11-13T14:08:31.000Z Section: Investing > The implied chance of a 50-basis-point move fell to 9% from 14% after monthly and annual producer inflation readings came in below forecasts. U.S. producer inflation rose less than expected in October, prompting money markets to raise the implied chance of a quarter-point Federal Reserve rate increase in December to 91%. The implied probability of a 25-basis-point increase rose to 91% from 86% before the release. The chance of a 50-basis-point move fell to 9% from 14%. The [October producer-price report]() showed a 0.3% increase from September, below the 0.4% forecast. Its annual increase was 6.5%, compared with a 6.6% forecast. Both readings came in 0.1 percentage point below expectations. ## Links in this article - [October producer-price report](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/56739)