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Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq Ratio Reclaims 200-Day Average After 235 Sessions

The ratio had not closed below the benchmark again through Oct. 26. In six past crossovers, Bitcoin was higher a year later five times, with an 84% median gain.

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A gold coin rests above a rising line crossing a steel rail / TokenPost.ai
A gold coin rests above a rising line crossing a steel rail / TokenPost.ai

Bitcoin’s performance against the Nasdaq moved above its 200-day average Sept. 18 after 235 straight sessions below it, renewing a chart signal followed by higher Bitcoin prices in five of six past cases reviewed.

The Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio had not closed below the average again through Oct. 26. The ratio tracks Bitcoin’s performance relative to the Nasdaq, a major U.S. stock index.

In six historical crossovers, Bitcoin (BTC) was higher one year later five times. The median gain across those cases was about 84%.

The ratio’s history includes four cycle resets. It puts the latest decline at 62%, the shallowest of the four, and compares it with a 2021 false start that did not mark a lasting trend change.

The analysis places the invalidation area at $76,000 to $77,000 and identifies $100,000 as another reference level.

Enna Lee

Reporter

Enna Lee reports on investing and digital-asset markets for TokenPost. Send corrections or tips to info@tokenpost.com.

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