[BTC returns review] Bitcoin down 4.16% in November, trailing historical average; YTD loss at 14%

Bitcoin’s weekly loss narrowed to 0.5%, while its November return of -4.16% remained well below the historical average. Fourth-quarter returns stood at -11.19%, with the year-to-date loss at 14%.

The smaller weekly decline left Bitcoin’s monthly, quarterly and annual performance in negative territory.

As of November 10, 2026, Bitcoin’s return for week 45 stood at -0.5%.

Weekly returns were -2% in week 41, -2.4% in week 42 and -2.2% in week 43. The loss widened to 4.7% in week 44 before narrowing to 0.5% in week 45.

Bitcoin was down 1.3% for the day on November 10. Daily returns were -0.3% on November 6, 0% on November 7, -1.5% on November 8 and +0.9% on November 9, with the latest decline reversing the previous day’s gain.

November’s return of -4.16% was well below the historical November average of +34.95% and median of +10.26%. Across 16 historical observations, November finished higher 10 times and lower six times.

Monthly gains of 25.05% in August and 6.37% in September were followed by a 7.32% loss in October. November has extended that decline.

The fourth-quarter return stood at -11.19%, below the historical fourth-quarter average of +86.52% and median of +27.94%. Of 16 historical fourth quarters, 10 ended higher and six ended lower.

Annual returns were -64.3% in 2022, +155.4% in 2023, +121% in 2024 and -6.3% in 2025. Bitcoin’s 2026 year-to-date return stood at -14%.

As of November 10, Bitcoin traded at $74,212.48, down 0.81% over 24 hours.

[Editor’s note] This column reviews Bitcoin’s weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual returns, using historical gains and losses, averages and medians to put current performance in context.