Data Center Moratorium Contracts Put Three-State 2029 Odds Near 31%

Contracts on statewide data-center moratoriums in Louisiana, Oklahoma and Missouri showed an average 31% chance of enactment by Jan. 1, 2029, in a Nov. 11 snapshot.

The Jan. 1, 2029 contract prices were 31% for Louisiana, 30.5% for Oklahoma and 31.5% for Missouri. For Jan. 1, 2027, prices were 2.9%, 2.2% and 2.8%, respectively. Prices for July 1, 2027, ranged from 11.5% in Oklahoma to 13.5% in Missouri; Louisiana was 12.5%.

The figures are contract prices for possible policy outcomes, not enacted moratoriums. The dated snapshot showed lower prices for the Jan. 1, 2027 deadlines than for July 2027 or January 2029.

The market snapshot follows Democratic gains in Congress and key-state governor’s races, which have renewed attention to data-center restrictions. The debate also reflects concerns about the facilities’ environmental effects and demands on resources. No nationwide halt was confirmed in the snapshot.

Governors and state legislatures will shape whether formal proposals advance. Legislative sessions, executive actions, local zoning decisions and utility studies are among the developments that may affect state-level policy.