Democrats Projected to Win at Least 235 House Seats in 2026 Midterms
The projected minimum is 17 seats above the 218 needed to control the chamber.

Democrats are projected to win at least 235 seats in the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms, exceeding the 218-seat threshold for control by at least 17 seats.
Democrats are projected to win at least 235 seats, a clear majority in the chamber. The 235-seat figure is a minimum, not an exact total: Democrats are projected to reach that number or more.
The 218-seat mark is the number needed to control the House. At the projected minimum, Democrats would be 17 seats above that threshold. Any projected total higher than 235 would widen the margin over the mark for control.
The forecast centers on the House and the Democratic seat count. Its central figure is a minimum of 235 seats, compared with the 218 seats needed for control.