Elon Musk’s xAI Partners with Kalshi to Integrate Grok into Real-Money Prediction Markets

Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence startup xAI has announced a partnership with Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market, to integrate its advanced chatbot Grok into real-money event forecasting. The collaboration aims to enhance Kalshi traders’ ability to analyze and respond to real-time data, including economic indicators, historical trends, and breaking news.

Kalshi’s platform allows users to trade event contracts on topics such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, monthly inflation reports, and U.S. Senate control. By leveraging Grok’s rapid information processing and reasoning capabilities, traders could gain a competitive edge in predicting market outcomes.

The deal combines Musk’s latest AI venture, known for its fast-evolving Grok model, with Kalshi’s status as the only U.S.-regulated prediction market. While detailed integration plans were not disclosed, previous reports suggested both companies are dedicating significant engineering resources to the project.

This move adds a new layer to Musk’s broader prediction market strategy. Earlier in 2025, xAI and X (formerly Twitter) partnered with Polymarket, an unregulated crypto-based prediction market, making Kalshi the second major platform within Musk’s ecosystem. Operating across regulated and unregulated environments, these partnerships appear to test Grok’s AI forecasting capabilities in varied market conditions.

Grok’s latest version, Grok 4, launched earlier this month, introduces significant improvements in reasoning and data retrieval, positioning it as a powerful tool for real-time event forecasting. With xAI’s push into both regulated and crypto-based markets, the integration signals a growing convergence between artificial intelligence and financial prediction trading, potentially reshaping how traders access and interpret market-moving information.