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XRP price has slipped below a critical long-term support level, marking a significant shift in market structure. For the first time since November 2024, XRP has fallen under its 200-week moving average, currently positioned near $1.42. This technical breakdown occurred on Thursday, Feb. 19, just one day before the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis is set to release its advance estimate for Q4 2025 GDP, adding further uncertainty to the broader crypto market outlook.
According to the weekly Bitfinex chart data from TradingView, the 200-week moving average around $1.419 had served as a key benchmark since late 2024, supporting XRP’s rally and consolidation phase. Losing this level suggests a transition from bullish consolidation to a potential prolonged correction. Technical analysts often view the 200-week moving average as a crucial indicator of long-term trend direction, making this breach particularly significant for traders and investors monitoring XRP price predictions.
Momentum indicators reinforce the cautious outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering in the low 30s, signaling sustained selling pressure rather than a panic-driven sell-off. This suggests a controlled but persistent downtrend, increasing the likelihood of further downside testing.
Key support levels to watch include $1.1211, which marked the early February sell-off low, followed by the psychological $1.00 level. The $1 mark previously acted as a technical bottom after the “Black Friday” liquidation event that wiped out an estimated $40 billion across crypto markets. A revisit of this zone could determine whether XRP establishes a new base or extends its correction.
On the upside, immediate resistance remains between $1.49 and $1.50, where recent relief rallies have repeatedly stalled. Until XRP reclaims the 200-week moving average, the broader trend remains tilted to the downside, with macroeconomic data likely to influence near-term volatility.
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