XRP Records $1.93B Realized Losses as Analysts Eye Potential Price Rebound

XRP has posted its largest realized losses since 2022, according to on-chain data released by Santiment on February 21. The analytics firm reported a weekly realized loss of $1.93 billion, marking the highest level in 39 months. This spike in realized losses has quickly become a focal point for crypto investors monitoring XRP price trends and broader market sentiment.

Realized losses occur when holders sell their tokens below their acquisition cost, effectively locking in losses. Such activity often signals capitulation, as investors exit positions during periods of fear and uncertainty. Historically, extreme realized loss events have coincided with market bottoms. In 2022, a similar spike preceded a 114% XRP price rally over the following eight months, making the current data especially relevant for traders searching for potential reversal signals.

Santiment emphasized that spikes in profit and loss metrics frequently highlight emotional extremes in the market. When weaker hands sell at a loss, immediate selling pressure can decline, potentially paving the way for price stabilization. As a result, XRP realized losses are now being closely tracked as a key on-chain indicator.

Meanwhile, crypto analysts have outlined ambitious XRP price targets. CryptoBull forecasted $13 in March, $27 in April, and $70 in May, citing momentum-based projections. Egrag Crypto applied historical cycle analysis, noting that XRP’s 2020 low of $0.10 rose to a 2022 low of $0.28—a 2.8x increase. Using similar cycle math, he projected a potential macro bottom between $0.75 and $0.85.

Despite being down over 25% in the past month, XRP recently climbed 1.55% to $1.44 amid a broader crypto market recovery led by Bitcoin. Institutional developments have also supported sentiment, including SBI Holdings’ ¥10 billion on-chain bond issuance rewarding investors with XRP and Société Générale launching its euro stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. Additionally, XRP spot ETFs have recorded three consecutive weeks of net inflows, signaling sustained investor interest.