Trader Adds $4,381 in Bitcoin Prediction-Market Bets on Year-End Declines

A trader added about $4,381 to prediction-market bets on Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $65,000 or $70,000 by year-end, while a separate Hyperliquid short position showed an unrealized loss of about $365,200.

The account added roughly 11,000 shares to the $65,000 contract for about $2,639. Its total position reached about 136,100 shares, with an implied probability of 22.5% and a value of roughly $30,600.

It also bought 4,510 shares in the $70,000 contract for about $1,742. That position totaled about 55,800 shares, with an implied probability of 35.5% and a value near $19,800.

The additions were made from Oct. 13 through Oct. 14. Separately, the account held a 26.97 BTC short on Hyperliquid, with a notional value of about $2.2528 million and an average entry price of $69,962. The short was showing an unrealized loss of about $365,200.

The prediction-market contracts and the leveraged short are separate positions. The figures show new bets on year-end price declines alongside a larger short that was in loss at the time of the report.