XRP year-end $2 odds rise 5 percentage points in a day to 27%

Prediction markets put the probability of XRP reaching $2 by year-end at 27%, up 5 percentage points in a day. Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability stood at 24%, while its odds of reaching $87,500 by the end of October were 37%.

Year-end probabilities showed differing expectations across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

As of October 21, Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability had risen 3 percentage points from 21% a day earlier. The probability at the higher $120,000 threshold was 5%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end rose 2 percentage points to 16%. XRP's year-end $2 probability increased from 22% to 27%.

XRP's year-end probability has fluctuated sharply. It stood at 53% on August 23, climbed to 61% on September 23 and was back at 27% on October 21.

For October, Bitcoin's probability of reaching $87,500 stood at 37%, up from 28% a day earlier. The higher $90,000 threshold carried a 20% probability.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,000 by the end of October was 7%. XRP's $1.60 threshold had the highest probability among its listed October targets, at 14%.

At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $83,273, up 2.28% on the day. Ethereum was at $2,451.49, up 2.96%, while XRP traded at $1.35, up 4.98%.