XRP year-end $2 odds fall 4 percentage points in a day to 21%

Prediction-market odds of XRP reaching $2 by year-end fell 4 percentage points in a day to 21%. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 24%, while its chances of reaching $87,500 by the end of October were 21%.

Year-end probabilities differed across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

As of 11:05 UTC on October 23, Bitcoin's implied probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end was 24%, down 4 percentage points from the previous day. The probability assigned to the higher $120,000 threshold was 6%.

Ethereum's odds of reaching $3,500 by year-end fell 3 percentage points to 16%. XRP's probability of reaching $2 declined 4 percentage points to 21%.

XRP's year-end odds have fluctuated sharply. They stood at 52% on August 25, reached 61% on September 23 and have since fallen to 21%.

Near-term probabilities also weakened. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $87,500 by the end of October dropped to 21% from 31% a day earlier. The higher $90,000 threshold carried a 12% probability.

Ethereum's odds of reaching $3,000 by the end of October were 3%. For XRP, the $1.60 threshold carried a 7% probability, tied with $1.70 for the highest probability among its listed October targets.

At the same time, Bitcoin traded at $81,519, down 0.49%. Ethereum stood at $2,390.36, down 0.5%, while XRP traded at $1.32, down 0.81%.