Trueo Puts DefiLlama Data Into 20 Live Prediction Markets With Defined Rules

Trueo ran 20 live prediction markets using DefiLlama metrics by Oct. 22, making DefiLlama’s measurement rules part of settlement for questions about protocol revenue, security losses and network activity.

Trueo manages trading and outcome resolution for the contracts. The 20-market slate follows the Oct. 20 launch and provides the later live count. Its contracts ask whether protocols meet revenue thresholds, whether security incidents meet defined loss tests and whether selected network measures cross a target.

One market asks whether Hyperliquid’s October 2026 revenue will exceed $60 million. It uses DefiLlama’s “Revenue” metric rather than gross “Fees.” The measurement window runs from 00:00 UTC Oct. 1, 2026, to 00:00 UTC Nov. 1. The metric and both time boundaries are part of the contract terms, so the gross-fees figure alone does not determine the outcome.

At 7:43 a.m. ET (11:43 UTC) Oct. 23, the Hyperliquid YES token was quoted at 82%, and the NO token at 18.5%, with 15,800 TYD in liquidity. The quote is a market price, not a DefiLlama forecast. Because the YES and NO sides trade in separate pools, their percentages can total more or less than 100%.

A weekly security contract resolves YES only if one incident causes at least $1 million in realized losses. Qualifying losses must be verifiable onchain during the seven days after the market opens; unrealized losses do not count. At the same snapshot, its YES token was quoted at 82.7%, with 14,700 TYD in liquidity.

Other contracts cover measures such as Robinhood Chain’s October decentralized exchange volume, with a $40 billion threshold. Revenue questions also cover protocols including Pumpfun, Uniswap, Aero Protocol, Papertrade and Collector Crypt. For each market, the written metric and time period determine what counts toward resolution.

A deposit of 1 TYD creates one YES token and one NO token. Once the market is resolved, the winning side’s token can be redeemed for 1 TYD; the other token expires. A participant can propose an outcome by posting a bond, which opens a 12-hour period for challenges. The Hyperliquid revenue market’s measurement window ends at 00:00 UTC Nov. 1.