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XRP year-end $2 odds hold at 24% as Bitcoin's $100,000 probability slips to 22%

XRP's year-end $2 probability held at 24%, while Bitcoin's $100,000 odds fell to 22%. Ethereum's year-end $3,500 probability slipped to 15%.

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Prediction-market probabilities for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP price targets · Data: Kalshi · TokenPost
Prediction-market probabilities for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP price targets · Data: Kalshi · TokenPost

Prediction markets put XRP's probability of reaching $2 by year-end at 24%, unchanged from the previous day. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 22%, while its probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 12%.

Year-end expectations for Bitcoin and Ethereum weakened as all three cryptocurrencies traded lower.

As of October 24, Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability was down 2 percentage points from the previous day. The probability at the higher $120,000 threshold stood at 6%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end also fell 2 percentage points to 15%. XRP's year-end $2 probability held at 24%.

XRP's year-end odds have fluctuated sharply. The probability stood at 51% on August 26 and reached 61% on September 23, compared with the current 24%.

For the end of October, Bitcoin's probability of reaching $87,500 fell to 12% from 24% the previous day. The higher $90,000 threshold carried a 7% probability.

Ethereum's end-of-October $3,000 probability was 3%. XRP's $1.60 threshold had the highest probability among its listed October targets, at 9%.

At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $80,586, down 1.27%. Ethereum was at $2,368.49, down 1.22%, while XRP traded at $1.28, down 2.98%.

Majors ahead ↗

John Kim

John Kim reports on the digital-asset business for TokenPost. Send corrections or tips to info@tokenpost.com.

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