XRP year-end $2 odds slip 1 percentage point to 23% in prediction markets

Prediction markets put XRP's probability of reaching $2 by year-end at 23%, down 1 percentage point in a day. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 18%, while its probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 11%.

Year-end expectations diverged across the three assets, with Bitcoin and XRP probabilities declining while Ethereum's rose.

As of October 25, Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 probability had fallen 5 percentage points from 23% a day earlier. The probability of reaching $120,000 stood at 6%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end rose 3 percentage points to 15%. XRP's year-end $2 probability slipped to 23% from 24%.

XRP's year-end expectations have fluctuated sharply. Its $2 probability stood at 46% on August 27, climbed to 61% on September 23 and has since retreated to 23%.

Month-end probabilities showed smaller changes. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $87,500 by the end of October edged down to 11% from 12% a day earlier. The probability of reaching $90,000 stood at 5%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,000 by the end of October remained at 3%. XRP's $1.6 threshold carried an 8% probability, also unchanged and the highest among its listed month-end targets.

Bitcoin traded at $80,240, down 0.4%. Ethereum was at $2,325, down 1.9%, while XRP traded at $1.3, up 0.8%.