Ethereum year-end $3,500 odds rise 3 percentage points in a day to 15%

Prediction markets put the probability of Ethereum reaching $3,500 by year-end at 15%, up 3 percentage points in a day. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 20%, while its chance of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 5%.

Year-end price expectations diverged across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

As of October 27, Bitcoin's probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end had risen to 20% from 17% a day earlier. The probability of reaching $120,000 stood at 5%.

Ethereum's year-end $3,500 probability rose to 15% from 12%, while XRP's odds of reaching $2 fell 5 percentage points to 22%.

Ethereum's year-end expectations have fluctuated considerably. The probability stood at 23% on August 29 and reached 36% on September 22, compared with the latest 15%.

Month-end probabilities remained low. Bitcoin had a 5% chance of reaching $87,500 by the end of October. The probability of reaching the next threshold, $90,000, stood at 4%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,000 by month-end was 2%. XRP's $1.60 threshold carried a 7% probability, tied with $1.70 for the highest probability among its listed month-end targets.

At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $79,727, down 0.77% over the day. Ethereum stood at $2,308.88, down 0.83%, while XRP traded at $1.30, up 0.61%.