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XRP year-end $2 odds rise 3 percentage points to 18% in prediction markets

XRP's probability of reaching $2 by year-end rose to 18% from 15%. Bitcoin's year-end $100,000 odds fell to 13%, while Ethereum's $3,500 probability slipped to 8%.

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Prediction-market probabilities for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP price thresholds · Data: Kalshi · TokenPost
Prediction-market probabilities for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP price thresholds · Data: Kalshi · TokenPost

The prediction-market probability of XRP reaching $2 by year-end rose 3 percentage points in a day to 18%. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $100,000 by year-end stood at 13%, while its probability of reaching $87,500 by the end of October was 1%.

Year-end probabilities moved in different directions across Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

As of October 31, Bitcoin's probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end had fallen 1 percentage point from the previous day to 13%. The probability at the higher $120,000 threshold was 4%.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,500 by year-end fell 3 percentage points to 8%. XRP's odds of reaching $2 rose to 18% from 15%.

XRP's year-end probability has fluctuated sharply. It stood at 44% on September 2, reached 61% on September 23 and was back at 18% on October 31.

Probabilities for the end of October remained low. Bitcoin's odds of reaching $87,500 fell to 1% from 2% the previous day. The $90,000 threshold also carried a 1% probability.

Ethereum's probability of reaching $3,000 by the end of October was 2%, while XRP's probability of reaching $1.60 was 1%.

At the same snapshot, Bitcoin traded at $77,333, down 0.44%. Ethereum was at $2,243.15, down 0.1%, while XRP traded at $1.25, down 0.65%.

Majors ahead ↗

John Kim

John Kim reports on the digital-asset business for TokenPost. Send corrections or tips to info@tokenpost.com.

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