TwoEyes Held $10.75 Million in Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold Longs
A separate prediction-market contract on whether the United States would announce before November’s end that it would end a blockade of Iran fell from 21.8% implied odds to 17.5%.
TwoEyes held about $10.75 million in long positions in Bitcoin (BTC) and gold on Hyperliquid on Nov. 10, while separate prediction-market bets tracked possible geopolitical outcomes.
The account’s gold long was valued at about $6.32 million, with an average entry price of $4,013.41 and an unrealized gain of about $157,400. Its Bitcoin long was worth about $4.43 million, with an average entry price of $74,298.20 and an unrealized gain of about $26,800.
TwoEyes spent about $7,594 on a Yes contract asking whether the United States would announce before the end of November that it would end a blockade of Iran. The contract implied a 21.8% chance when purchased. Its implied probability later fell to 17.5%, putting the position’s value at about $6,088 and its loss at roughly $1,506.
The account also put about $1,964 into a Yes contract asking whether Russia and Ukraine would reach a ceasefire agreement by year-end.
Trading changes on Nov. 10 included closing an Ether (ETH) long, cutting a WLD position by about half and opening an XRP long worth roughly $323,900. TwoEyes reduced and then added to its Bitcoin position, ending the day with a slightly larger holding, while trimming its gold position.