Polymarket Puts OpenAI at 63% Odds of Reaching $975 Billion by Sept. 30
The contract’s probability rose 30% over 24 hours. It settles based on OpenAI’s valuation on Nasdaq Private Market or, if applicable, its IPO pricing and public-market capitalization.
A Polymarket contract puts a 63% probability on OpenAI’s valuation on Nasdaq Private Market reaching at least $975 billion by Sept. 30, with the odds up 30% in 24 hours.
The contract settles “Yes” if OpenAI’s valuation on Nasdaq Private Market reaches or exceeds $975 billion by the deadline. If OpenAI completes an initial public offering or lists directly during the period, the settlement also considers its IPO pricing and subsequent public-market capitalization.
Historical revisions by Nasdaq Private Market generally will not affect the outcome unless they correct an obvious data error. The contract’s deadline is Sept. 30.
