Polymarket Prices Nvidia’s October Stock Thresholds From $208 to $272

Polymarket’s October contracts showed varied probabilities for Nvidia share-price thresholds through Oct. 31, 2026, offering a snapshot of market expectations rather than a forecast of the month-end closing price.

The page displayed an 89% probability that Nvidia (NVDA) shares would reach $232 and 51% for $240. Odds were lower at higher thresholds: 25% for $248, 10% for $256, 3% for $264 and 2% for $272.

For lower price levels, the page showed a 68% probability of shares reaching $224, 43% for $216 and 16% for $208. The contract outcomes are separate, so the probabilities are not mutually exclusive: shares could reach multiple thresholds during October.

The displayed odds are a snapshot and may change. The contracts ask whether shares reach a level by Oct. 31, not where they close that day.

For the quarter ending July 26, 2026, Nvidia posted $96.2 billion in fiscal second-quarter 2027 revenue, a 106% increase year over year. Data Center revenue rose 117% to $89 billion.

Nvidia announced plans with Cisco on Oct. 12 for an optical module for AI data-center networks. On Oct. 13, it announced a five-year compute commitment valued at $250 million for U.K. research into agentic AI safety and security.

TokenPost previously covered Nvidia shares falling toward $225 after an October peak of $243.37 in a report on the stock’s move.