1 min read
Markets Price 83.9% Chance of an October Federal Reserve Hold
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase through October was 16.1%. December pricing assigned a 76% chance to a cumulative 25-basis-point increase.

Market pricing assigned an 83.9% probability to the Federal Reserve leaving rates unchanged in October and a 16.1% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase through October.
For December, the probability of no change was 9.9%. Pricing put the chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase at 76% and a cumulative 50-basis-point increase at 14.2%.