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interest rates
79 TokenPost stories are tagged interest rates. The newest appear first.
Latest interest rates stories
- Markets Put 64% Odds on Fed Holding Rates Steady in October
Pricing assigns a 36% chance to a 25-basis-point increase at the October meeting and higher cumulative hike odds by December.
· Investing
- Kashkari Sees One More Fed Rate Hike in 2026 and Another in 2027
He also said the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet works best near zero rates and called a strategy review reasonable.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Climbs Above $85,000 as Softer Inflation Eases Fed Pressure
August headline PCE inflation rose 3.4% year over year, below the 3.7% expectation, while Bitcoin’s 24-hour range reached $87,251.25.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Slows, Cooling October Fed Hike Bets
The core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 3% year over year in August, below the 3.3% forecast.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Slows to 3%, Lowest in Six Months
August core PCE inflation eased from the previous month and came in below the 3.3% market forecast, offering a fresh signal for U.S. rate expectations.
· Investing
- U.S. Core PCE Inflation Rises 3% in August, Below Forecast
The annual reading came in below the 3.3% expectation, shaping expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and crypto markets.
· Investing
- U.S. Private Employers Added 90,000 Jobs in September After August Slowdown
Hiring accelerated from a revised 36,000-job increase in August and exceeded the 68,000 expected gain, offering a fresh labor-market signal for rate expectations.
· Business
- Micron Options Traders Turn Bullish as AI Trade Faces Rate Pressure
Markets imply a roughly 7% move after Wednesday’s earnings report, while calls made up 75% of $1.6 billion in traded options premium.
· Investing
- Polymarket Odds Put October Fed Rate Hold at 59% Ahead of Key Data
The hold probability rose 28% in 24 hours, while the odds of a 25-basis-point hike fell to 42%.
· Investing
- Kazakhstan Cuts Base Rate to 16.75% as Inflation Pressure Persists
The 25-basis-point reduction follows a ninth straight monthly decline in annual inflation, but household expectations and underlying price pressures remain elevated.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Falls to $82,775 as Inflation Expectations Rise
August job openings declined to 7.1 million, while consumers’ inflation and interest-rate expectations increased in September.
· Investing
- Traders Cut October Fed Rate-Hike Bets After Williams Comment
Markets now price only one additional Federal Reserve rate increase through year-end. The probability of a 25-basis-point October hike stands at 68.1%.
· Investing
- August PCE Report Due Wednesday With Inflation Forecast at 3.7%
The Bureau of Economic Analysis is expected to report 0.3% monthly increases in headline and core PCE inflation, while consumer spending is forecast to rise 0.8%.
· Investing
- Markets Price 68.1% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Fed Hike
Pricing assigns a 31.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged at its upcoming October meeting.
· Investing
- Federal Reserve Board Member Says More Rate Hikes May Be Needed
The official cited rising inflation risks and easing labor-market risks while expecting a slight pickup in second-half growth.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Rally Cools as Geopolitical and Rate Risks Pressure Markets
Bitcoin (BTC) is up 28% since Aug. 19 but has lost momentum as markets absorb Federal Reserve rate increases and weigh another possible hike in October.
· Investing
- U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.587%, Highest Since 2004
The benchmark yield reached its highest level since May 2004 on Tuesday, keeping long-term U.S. rates in focus for crypto and other risk assets.
· Investing
- Swiss National Bank Holds Rate at 0% and Keeps FX Intervention Option
Inflation reached 0.8% in August, while the central bank projected price growth would remain within its 0% to 2% stability range through 2028.
· Investing
- U.S. Treasury Yields Edge Lower After Sharp Monday Increase
The 10-year yield fell to 5.2278% early Tuesday, while markets priced in more than a 72% chance of another Federal Reserve rate increase in October.
· Investing
- Gold Rebounds Below $4,200 as Traders Await U.S. Economic Data
Spot gold edged higher Tuesday after a sharp Monday selloff, but higher Treasury yields, rising oil prices and elevated rate expectations kept pressure on the metal.
· Investing
- Narrowing Stock Leadership and Slowing ETF Flows Keep Crypto Focused on Rates
The S&P 500 remains near its record high even as its equal-weighted index falls, while spot Bitcoin ETF inflows slow from $999 million to $135 million.
· Investing
- Morgan Stanley Sees Fed Rate Hikes Trail Market Pricing
The bank expects one increase in December and another in March 2027, while markets expect 100 basis points of cumulative increases over the next 12 months.
· Regulation
- Australia Raises Benchmark Rate to 15-Year High at 4.6%
The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered its fourth increase this year as inflation remains above its 2%-3% target band.
· Investing
- Australia’s Central Bank Raises Rate to 4.6%, Highest Since 2011
The Reserve Bank of Australia lifted its policy rate by 25 basis points as expected, taking it to the highest level since November 2011.
· Investing
- Markets Price Roughly 69% Chance of October Fed Rate Hike
Federal funds futures imply 17.4 basis points of tightening at the Fed’s Oct. 27-28 meeting. The probability is cited as both 68% and 69%, creating a one-point discrepancy.
· Investing
- Dallas Fed Survey Comments Highlight Costs and Planning Uncertainty
Individual Texas manufacturers cited tariffs, fuel and insurance costs, raw-material shortages and uncertainty affecting business planning.
· Investing
- U.S. Two-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 4.952%, Highest Since May 2024
The reading brings the benchmark maturity close to the 5% threshold.
· Investing
- U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 24-Year High at 5.57%
The yield rose 7 basis points on Sept. 28, putting long-term borrowing costs and liquidity conditions in focus for crypto and other risk assets.
· Investing
- Norges Bank Raises Policy Rate to 4.5% as Inflation Stays High
Consumer prices rose 3.3% in the year through August, while CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products increased 3.0%, both above Norway’s 2% target.
· Regulation
- Ackman Warns Fed Rate Hike May Miss AI Investment Demand
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, while AI spending continues to expand across major technology companies.
· Regulation
- Short-Term Treasury Yields Surge as Fed Hike Bets Rise
Two-year Treasury yields have climbed about 55 basis points in September as markets price a roughly two-thirds chance of an October rate increase.
· Investing
- Bank of England Deputy Governor Warns Energy Shock Could Lift Rates
Dave Ramsden said prolonged energy-cost pressures could feed into domestic inflation after the central bank held Bank Rate at 3.75% on Sept. 16.
· Regulation
- Japan’s Two-Year Bond Yield Nears 2% as BOJ Hike Bets Increase
The yield reached 1.975% on Monday, its highest level since 1995, as investors priced in a greater chance of further policy tightening.
· Investing
- Higher Rates Would Lift U.S. Debt to 222% of GDP by 2056
A modeled scenario puts debt 47 percentage points above the extended baseline, while raising deficits and slowing average annual GDP growth.
· Regulation
- Hammack Says Persistent Inflation Complicates U.S. Economic Planning
The Cleveland Fed president said higher inflation expectations can influence wages, prices and other decisions, making price stability harder to restore.
· Regulation
- Markets Price Four More Fed Hikes as Bitcoin Falls Below $83,000
Interest-rate futures imply the federal funds rate could reach 4.75%-5% by June 2027, while the 10-year Treasury yield rises above 5.1%.
· Investing
- U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Climbs to 5.23%, Highest Since 2007
The benchmark yield was 5.04% on Sept. 23, while the 30-year yield reached 5.4583%, its highest level in 22 years.
· Investing
- Tom Barkin Says Firms Delay Hiring Amid Large AI Investment Plans
The Richmond Fed president said companies are weighing productivity gains, AI’s potential and economic caution as nearly $700 billion in investments were announced in one week.
· People
- Treasury Yields Above 5% Raise S&P 500 Refinancing Risk
Piper Sandler strategists estimate roughly 40% of debt held by most S&P 500 companies comes due within five years, increasing exposure to current borrowing costs.
· Investing
- Bailey Warns High Energy Prices Could Prompt Bank of England Hike
The Bank held Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, while inflation is projected at about 3.75% in late 2026 and just above 4% in early 2027.
· Regulation