TokenPost topic
Monetary Policy
27 TokenPost stories are tagged Monetary Policy. The newest appear first.
Latest Monetary Policy stories
- Markets Put 64% Odds on Fed Holding Rates Steady in October
Pricing assigns a 36% chance to a 25-basis-point increase at the October meeting and higher cumulative hike odds by December.
· Investing
- Kashkari Sees One More Fed Rate Hike in 2026 and Another in 2027
He also said the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet works best near zero rates and called a strategy review reasonable.
· Investing
- Swiss National Bank Member Tschudin Says Stablecoins Hinder Policy Transmission
Tschudin linked the challenge to stablecoins’ relatively limited connection with the two-tier financial system and urged designs that preserve central bank functions.
· Regulation
- China’s Central Bank Plans 1.2 Trillion Yuan Outright Reverse Repo on Oct. 8
The 89-day operation is scheduled to mature Jan. 5, 2027, under a fixed-quantity, interest-rate bidding process.
· Investing
- Artificial Intelligence Could Reshape Monetary Policy Through Two Channels
AI may influence central banks indirectly through economic conditions and directly through the way interest-rate decisions move through financial markets.
· Regulation
- Traders Cut October Fed Rate-Hike Bets After Williams Comment
Markets now price only one additional Federal Reserve rate increase through year-end. The probability of a 25-basis-point October hike stands at 68.1%.
· Investing
- Fed’s Barr Says AI Investment Is Raising Prices Before Potential Gains
Barr backed the Fed’s Sept. 16 rate increase and said further policy adjustments may be needed as 2026 inflation projections remain above the 2% target.
· Regulation
- Bank of England Sets 2034 Target to End Policy Gilt Holdings
The central bank plans £20 billion in annual gilt sales while retaining £120 billion in long-dated bonds to support banknote issuance.
· Regulation
- Morgan Stanley Sees Fed Rate Hikes Trail Market Pricing
The bank expects one increase in December and another in March 2027, while markets expect 100 basis points of cumulative increases over the next 12 months.
· Regulation
- Australia Raises Benchmark Rate to 15-Year High at 4.6%
The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered its fourth increase this year as inflation remains above its 2%-3% target band.
· Investing
- Norges Bank Raises Policy Rate to 4.5% as Inflation Stays High
Consumer prices rose 3.3% in the year through August, while CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products increased 3.0%, both above Norway’s 2% target.
· Regulation
- Hammack Says Persistent Inflation Complicates U.S. Economic Planning
The Cleveland Fed president said higher inflation expectations can influence wages, prices and other decisions, making price stability harder to restore.
· Regulation
- Warsh Reshapes Fed Policy Framework as Balance-Sheet Changes Face Resistance
The Federal Open Market Committee raised its target range to 3.75%-4% on Sept. 16 as inflation remained above the Fed’s 2% target.
· Regulation
- Cleveland Fed’s Hammack Warns Persistent Inflation Could Make Price Stability Costlier
Beth M. Hammack said inflation had remained elevated for six years and warned that larger policy adjustments could be needed if expectations become embedded.
· Regulation
- Bank of England’s Breeden Warns of Two-Sided Inflation Risks
Sarah Breeden said persistent price pressures and weaker demand create risks in both directions as the central bank weighs rate policy.
· Regulation
- Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson Signals Possible Further Rate Hikes
Paulson said inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, even as economic output stays solid and the labor market holds steady.
· Investing
- ECB Council Member Radev Rejects Preset Path Before September Decision
Dimitar Radev said before the ECB’s Sept. 10 rate increase that October and December meetings remained open, with decisions tied to incoming data.
· People
- ECB Speeches Can Shift Market Expectations as Bitcoin Link Remains Unproven
Policymaker remarks had smaller average effects than formal decisions but produced significant cumulative moves in European rates and bond yields.
· Investing
- China’s Central Bank Committee Urges Coordinated Policy Measures
The committee called for flexible, targeted implementation and ample liquidity as it reviewed the main approach for the next stage of monetary policy.
· Regulation
- Odds of October Fed Rate Hike Rise to 69.7% as Bets Shift
The probability of holding rates at 3.75%-4% stands at 30.3%, while pricing points to further tightening by December.
· Investing
- Market-Implied Odds Show 54.2% Chance of October Fed Hike
The probability of a 25-basis-point increase exceeds the 45.8% chance that the Federal Reserve will leave its target range unchanged.
· Investing
- Trump Calls for 1% Rates After Fed Raises Benchmark to 3.75%-4%
The Federal Reserve said inflation remains elevated, while its latest projections show rates staying above 4% through 2027.
· Regulation
- Academic Report Warns Stablecoins Reintroduce Risk Despite Bitcoin’s Decentralization Gains
A CEPR-backed report led by Bruno Biais argues Bitcoin derives value from collective belief while warning stablecoins reintroduce intermediary risks that threaten financial stability.
· Insights & Views
- Fed Inflation Debate Deepens as Trimmed Mean Gains Focus, Bitcoin Narrative Resurfaces
Debate grows around Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s support for trimmed mean inflation metrics, raising policy credibility questions and renewed attention on Bitcoin’s fixed supply narrative.
· Insights & Views
- South Korea Weighs Won Stablecoin Tradeoffs as Dollar Tokens Gain Ground
South Korea faces a policy dilemma balancing monetary sovereignty, adoption, and redemption stability as dollar stablecoins gain influence in digital payments.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin’s Fixed Supply Highlights Fiat Inflation and Long-Term Purchasing Power Shift
A column argues Bitcoin’s fixed supply exposes fiat currency inflation, positioning BTC as a long-term store of purchasing power over traditional money systems.
· Insights & Views
- South Korea Weighs KRW Stablecoin Risks to FX Controls and Monetary Policy
South Korean regulators are evaluating whether a won-based stablecoin could undermine FX controls and monetary policy, while exploring design and governance measures to mitigate risks.
· Regulation