Polymarket Odds Put Predict.fun Token Launch Before Oct. 31 at 22%

Polymarket's market for a Predict.fun governance token launch before Oct. 31 assigned the outcome a 22% probability at 12:37 a.m. ET Monday (04:37 UTC), after rising 10% over the previous 24 hours.

A separate market put the probability of a launch before Nov. 30 at 97%, up 14% over the same period. Both contracts concern the same event but set different deadlines.

Under the settlement terms, a “Yes” requires Predict.fun to formally launch a governance token before the listed date. The token must be live and publicly transferable and tradable; an announcement alone does not qualify.

Settlement is based mainly on official Predict.fun information, with agreement among credible media reports also considered.