Kalshi Market Puts Democratic Midterm Sweep Odds at About 70%

Kalshi’s balance-of-power market put Democrats’ chance of winning both chambers at about 70% Sunday morning, Nov. 1, two days before voters go to the polls in the U.S. midterms.

The figure is a forecast for a combined outcome: Democrats would need to win the House and Senate. It is not an election result.

An earlier look at congressional control scenarios covered the four possible House and Senate outcomes.

The midterm elections are scheduled for Nov. 3.