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Kalshi
49 TokenPost stories are tagged Kalshi. The newest appear first.
Latest Kalshi stories
- 39 States Ask Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Sports Contracts
The filing backs New Jersey’s petition over whether federal derivatives law overrides state gambling rules for sports-related prediction contracts.
· Regulation
- Four Native American Tribes Launch Kalshi-Powered Prediction Apps
The partnerships offer tribes a way to enter prediction markets without building gaming facilities, amid disagreement over the industry's effect on casino revenue.
· Business
- Kalshi Seeks CFTC Approval for WTI Crude Oil Perpetual Futures
The proposed contract would trade 24 hours a day, five days a week, and become the first regulated U.S. crude oil perpetual futures product if approved.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Launches Leveraged US 500 Perpetual Contract Without Expiration
The contract tracks 500 large U.S. companies and supports long or short positions with leverage, with maximum leverage currently listed at 13.7x.
· Investing
- Kalshi Gold Contract Count Exceeded Ethereum’s in September
The gold market recorded 542 million contracts and about $5 million in estimated fees, compared with 318 million contracts and $2.6 million for Ethereum.
· Investing
- Kalshi Adds Low-Volume Labels and Live Trade Feeds for Election Markets
Brier scores will compare market probabilities with actual outcomes. Markets below $10,000 will receive low-volume labels.
· Business
- Kalshi Combos Bundle Event Outcomes in a Single Position
Each combo uses a dedicated order book and can pay up to $1 per contract, depending on its component positions.
· Business
- Kalshi Withdraws Pepe Perpetual Futures Filing Before Launch
The proposed PEPE-linked contract was withdrawn Oct. 1, two days after certification. Pepe is absent from Kalshi’s current list of crypto perpetuals.
· Business
- Prediction Markets Log $188 Billion in Q3 Trading Volume
The total was nearly 70% higher than in Q2 and about 21 times the level a year earlier. Sports markets accounted for about 40% of Kalshi’s Q3 volume.
· Investing
- House Bill Would Bar Candidates From Trading on Their Own Elections
Rep. Don Davis introduced the measure Oct. 5 after his opponent Laurie Buckhout was penalized by Kalshi over trades tied to her candidacy.
· Regulation
- Kalshi’s 2027 Recession Market Shows 22% Odds for U.S. Downturn
Yes contracts were priced at 21 cents on Oct. 6. The market listed Jan. 31, 2028, as its maximum payout date.
· Investing
- CFTC Has Not Approved Kalshi’s Proposed S&P 500 Perpetual Futures
A Federal Register notice and the CFTC’s product listing show the relevant proposal is still pending.
· Regulation
- New Jersey Asks Supreme Court to Review Kalshi Sports Contract Ruling
The state argues that sports event contracts are not swaps under federal commodities law and that federal law does not preempt state gambling rules. The Supreme Court has not agreed to hear the case.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Prediction Markets Put 2026 Odds of Touching $100,000 at 39%
Polymarket’s Bitcoin threshold market shows $72.6 million in volume, while Kalshi’s year-end closing-price market has recorded about $39.5 million.
· Investing
- Kalshi Advances Trading Incentive Program End Date to Oct. 13, 2026
The company filed the date change with the CFTC on Sept. 28, moving the deadline up from Oct. 1, 2027.
· Regulation
- Kalshi, Polymarket Face Scrutiny Over Trading Volume Patterns
Kalshi attributes activity in Ether perpetuals to liquidity programs, while Polymarket says professional traders exploit pricing differences across international prediction markets.
· Investing
- CFTC Investigates Adam Kinzinger Over Kalshi Pardon Trades
A linked account made about 25 trades tied to Kinzinger’s potential pardon and Joe Biden’s preemptive pardons, reporting an $823 gain.
· Regulation
- Adam Kinzinger Says He Made Kalshi Bets on a Biden Pardon
He said the trades produced $823 across about 25 transactions and that he had no material nonpublic information.
· Regulation
- September Payroll Forecasts Diverge as Markets Split on 100,000 Jobs
Forecasts for September U.S. job growth range from 35,000 to 180,000, while Kalshi and Polymarket put roughly even odds on more than 100,000 jobs.
· Investing
- Kalshi Plans to End Its Volume Incentive Program on Oct. 13
The program was designed to improve order-book liquidity and pricing efficiency across Kalshi markets. Rewards will stop after the termination takes effect.
· Business
- Kalshi Files to Terminate Volume Incentive Program After 10-Day Review
KalshiEX LLC filed Sept. 28 to terminate a reward program tied to qualifying trading volume, with Oct. 13 listed as the earliest possible effective date.
· Regulation
- Prediction-Market Traders Bet September Jobs Growth Will Beat 84,000 Estimate
Kalshi contracts show nearly 60% odds of more than 90,000 new jobs, while Polymarket traders see roughly even odds of growth above 100,000.
· Investing
- Kalshi in Talks for $1 Billion Financing at $40 Billion Valuation
The prediction-market platform is discussing the financing with new and existing investors, with completion expected in the coming weeks.
· Business
- Kalshi’s May Financing Valued the Company at $22 Billion
Kalshi announced a $1 billion Series F on May 7, while an Aug. 25 SEC filing listed a nearly $1.5 billion private offering.
· Business
- House Panel Expands Prediction-Market Probe to Three More Platforms
The inquiry seeks records on customer verification, internal monitoring and suspicious-trading reports from Hyperliquid Labs, Crypto.com and Aristotle Exchange.
· Regulation
- Prediction Markets Put Bitcoin’s 2026 $100,000 Odds Near One-Third
Kalshi pricing ranged from 38% to 40%, while Polymarket showed 31% for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026.
· Investing
- Sixth Circuit Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Not Federal Swaps
The ruling allows Ohio and Tennessee to apply their gambling laws to Kalshi’s sports-event contracts and removes a key federal shield for the platform.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Lets Ohio, Tennessee Regulate Kalshi Sports Contracts
The ruling deepens a split among federal appeals courts over whether states or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission can oversee Kalshi’s event contracts.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Can Keep Offering Event Contracts in Ohio, Tennessee
A Sixth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruling allows Kalshi to continue operating its event-contract business in both states.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Loses Sixth Circuit Appeal Over Sports-Event Contracts
The unanimous ruling allows Ohio and Tennessee to regulate Kalshi’s sports contracts under state gambling laws, deepening a federal court split.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Clears Ohio, Tennessee To Enforce Laws Against Kalshi
The ruling removes preliminary protections for the prediction-market operator but does not itself order user blocks in either state.
· Regulation
- Sixth Circuit Says Kalshi Sports Contracts Face State Gambling Oversight
The ruling says the contracts are not swaps subject to Commodity Futures Trading Commission rules, affecting disputes in Ohio and Tennessee.
· Regulation
- Appeals Court Rules States Can Regulate Kalshi Sports Contracts
The unanimous ruling lets Ohio and Tennessee apply gambling laws to Kalshi’s sports event contracts, adding to a growing appeals-court split over federal oversight.
· Regulation
- 35% of Respondents Use Sportsbooks Less as Tax Fight Grows
A September survey found that prediction markets are changing sportsbook use, while conflicting estimates put potential state tax effects at more than $500 million.
· Regulation
- Morgan Stanley Joins NEXTPredict NYC as Strategic Partner
The bank will lead the summit’s Institutional and Capital panel as prediction markets seek broader use in trading, forecasting and risk management.
· Business
- Prediction Markets Reach 1.1 Billion Trades in Q3 as Kalshi Leads
The third-quarter count through Sept. 25 surpassed roughly 490 million trades in Q1 and 709 million in Q2, while Kalshi supplied most of the additional activity.
· Investing
- CFTC Warns Exchanges of Manipulation Risk in Political Speech Bets
A Sept. 22 advisory requires contract-specific safeguards for markets tied to what a person says, does or attends.
· Regulation
- Public Adds AI Agents for Prediction-Market Trading Through Kalshi
Users can approve fixed strategies that monitor event contracts tied to rate decisions, regulatory approvals and company metrics, then alert or trade when preset conditions are met.
· Business
- CFTC Reviews Kalshi Activity as One Ether Market Tops $5 Billion
Nearly 1 million similarly sized trades have appeared since August in Kalshi’s Ether perpetual contract market, with the CFTC weighing whether to open an investigation.
· Regulation
- Senate Banking Democrats Seek Public Hearing on Prediction Markets
All 11 Democratic committee members asked Chairman Tim Scott to examine consumer and financial-system risks as prediction-market trading expands.
· Regulation