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Kalshi
203 TokenPost stories are tagged Kalshi. The newest appear first.
Latest Kalshi stories
- The Bitcoin Historian Says Kalshi Odds Put Sen. Warren Near 100%
The Nov. 14 post called the level the highest ever seen but gave no contract details, observation time or historical readings.
· Investing
- Kalshi Market Puts Cantwell at 97% for Senate Commerce Chair
The market estimate does not confirm that Cantwell has been appointed to the role.
· Investing
- CFTC Sues Louisiana After Judge Bars Kalshi and Other Operators
A temporary injunction covers more than 30 operators; the CFTC says it came without advance notice or a chance to respond.
· Regulation
- Kalshi’s Partial Shutdown Odds Rebound Above 40% Ahead of Dec. 12
The contract requires a partial shutdown at 10 a.m. ET Dec. 12, one day after current federal funding is scheduled to expire.
· Investing
- Louisiana Judge Orders Kalshi, 30 Others to Geofence State
The order also covers Polymarket U.S., Robinhood and Coinbase, and bars offering or facilitating event contracts without a state license.
· Regulation
- DOJ and CFTC Sue Arkansas to Block Enforcement Against Kalshi
The complaint argues federal commodities law gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over futures, options and swaps traded on regulated platforms.
· Regulation
- Justice Department and CFTC Sue Arkansas Attorney General Over Kalshi
The lawsuit seeks to block future state actions against prediction markets regulated by the CFTC.
· Regulation
- Louisiana Sues Kalshi and Polymarket Over Event Contracts in State Court
Attorney General Liz Murrill is seeking a restraining order and injunction, alleging the contracts violate state gambling and sports betting laws.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Ends Trump Jr. Advisory Deal After 1789 Capital Adds to Polymarket Stake
A Kalshi spokesperson said both sides agreed to end the contract. Discussions began after 1789 Capital led Polymarket’s latest funding round in August.
· Business
- Ian Buck Leads Kalshi's Nvidia CEO Successor Market at 35%
Buck leads Nvidia’s hyperscale and high-performance computing business.
· People
- Judge Says CFTC Order Letting Kalshi Operate Gave Appearance of Collusion
The judge denied Novig’s bid to block New York from applying gambling laws to its sports contracts, finding they likely were not swaps under federal law.
· Regulation
- Polymarket Puts Odds of Jensen Huang Leaving Nvidia’s CEO Role at 87% by Year-End
The year-end contract rose from about 16.5% a day earlier. A separate contract for a departure by Nov. 13 ET showed 69% on Polymarket and 71% on Kalshi.
· Investing
- CFTC Warning Raises Prospect of Enforcement Against Kalshi
Kalshi has described the regulatory dispute as procedural.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Taps Artnet Auction Data to Resolve Art Event Contracts
The first collaborative markets are live ahead of New York’s modern and contemporary art auctions; Miami Art Week in December is the next planned event.
· Business
- Democratic Senators Ask HHS to Address Drug Trial Market Risks
The letter cites possible effects on trial enrollment decisions and insider trading by researchers or regulators with access to nonpublic information.
· Regulation
- CFTC Probes Whether Kalshi Properly Filed New Event Contracts
Kalshi identified weather-related contracts and called the filing issue minor; many of the contracts involved were not live.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Says Contract Submissions Involved a Procedural Error
Spokesperson Elisabeth Diana said the issue involved submissions for a few contracts, many of which were not live, and that Kalshi is addressing it.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Offers $1 Million for 2026 Midterm Prediction Market Research
The program will support up to 50 independent projects, with applications due by 11:59 p.m. ET Nov. 18.
· Business
- Kalshi Odds of 30-Year Treasury Yield Reaching 5% in 2027 Top 75%
The claim concerns a 2027 threshold and does not describe the yield’s current level.
· Investing
- CFTC Warns Kalshi It Could Face Action Over Contract Filings
The inquiry centers on required notices for dozens of planned contracts and Kalshi’s process for certifying new products.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Sets Two Daily Notional Volume Records With Combos Near 75%
The exchange recorded $5.33 billion on Nov. 7 and $5.36 billion on Nov. 8, with combination contracts making up 75.6% and 74.6% of volume, respectively.
· Investing
- U.S.-Regulated Exchanges Capture 89% of Q3 Prediction-Market Volume
Parlays accounted for 44% of U.S. notional volume, ahead of contracts on individual sports events at 39%.
· Investing
- Six Firms Seek Permission to File Brief Backing CFTC in U.S. Stock Perpetual Case
Coinbase, Kalshi and four other firms say federal law classifies the contracts as security futures. They also argue blocking U.S. listings could shift trading offshore.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Entertainment Markets Reach $813 Million in Volume Through Sept. 25
The 2026 total topped the full-year 2025 figure as reality TV contracts drew questions about insider information and regulatory treatment.
· Business
- Democrats’ Midterm Win Followed Months of Prediction-Market Scrutiny
The Senate and House proposals were introduced March 26. Warren and Curtis made their bipartisan letter to the platforms public Oct. 29 and requested responses by Nov. 3.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Says 2026 Midterm Contract Trading Tops $2.5 Billion
The total approaches twice the $1.3 billion recorded during Kalshi’s 2024 election cycle, across contracts spanning congressional, gubernatorial and state races.
· Investing
- CFTC Gives Prediction Markets 30 Days to End State Access Limits
The directive clashes with restrictions affecting Kalshi, including a California federal court bar on sports contracts on tribal lands.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Cuts Anthropic IPO Odds Before December to 57% Amid AI Sell-Off
The chance of an announcement before January also fell to 68%. U.S. stocks were mixed Friday after steep losses the day before.
· Investing
- Kalshi Co-Founder Says Stock Perps Top $300 Million in Debut Volume
Kalshi launched the contracts on Nov. 5, covering more than 50 stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq.
· Investing
- Judge Bars Kalshi Sports Contracts on Plaintiff Tribes’ Indian Lands
The injunction covers any sports contracts on those lands, with 14 listed examples. The tribes must provide boundary maps by Friday, Nov. 13, while Kalshi has 21 days to report compliance steps to the court.
· Regulation
- Hudson River Trading Starts Kalshi Trading and Joins $1 Billion Round
HRT’s futures team is handling the activity, which focuses on short-term contracts tied to asset prices.
· Business
- Arkansas Accuses Kalshi of Hiding Risks and Allowing Underage Users
The state is seeking unpaid taxes and civil penalties of up to $10,000 per alleged violation.
· Regulation
- Prediction Market Buyers Spent $22.7 Billion in October, More Than in 2025
The $22.7 billion cash measure topped the $20.9 billion buyers paid across all of 2025. Notional volume reached $123.6 billion as trades, fees and open interest also rose from September.
· Investing
- Hollywood Firms Restrict Staff Bets on Entertainment Outcomes
Penske Media’s handbook covers award nominations, casting, production timelines and release dates. Kalshi and Polymarket also restrict some trades based on confidential information.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Traders Ages 18 to 21 Generated $5.4 Billion in Activity
The activity ran through August 2026, as Kalshi set a default monthly deposit limit of $2,500 for users ages 18 to 20.
· Investing
- Kalshi Explores Legal Claim Contracts to Attract Institutional Investors
One concept would let investors take a position on whether a settlement increases the value of a legal claim bought at a discount.
· Business
- Kalshi Says Favorites Won 479 of 487 Early U.S. Midterm Races
The 98% tally covers congressional and state races resolved by 6 a.m. ET on Nov. 4.
· Investing
- Arkansas Sues Kalshi, Alleging It Runs an Illegal Gambling Platform
The complaint says users as young as 18 could wager on sports and entertainment events. Kalshi argues its contracts fall under federal derivatives regulation.
· Regulation
- Arkansas Sues Kalshi Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting Platform
Griffin wants a court ruling under Arkansas' deceptive-trade-practices law and damages; Kalshi says its sports contracts are federally regulated derivatives.
· Regulation
- Kalshi Midterm Markets Post $729 Million in Nov. 3 Volume
Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang posted on X that Kalshi’s midterm-election markets recorded $729 million in volume on Nov. 3.
· Investing