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Kalshi Odds of 30-Year Treasury Yield Reaching 5% in 2027 Top 75%
The claim concerns a 2027 threshold and does not describe the yield’s current level.

Kalshi odds for the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield to reach 5% or higher in 2027 topped 75% on Nov. 11.
The claim concerns a future threshold. It does not indicate that the yield stood at 5% or higher on Nov. 11.
The 30-year yield has crossed 5% before, including during a bond selloff that pushed it to its highest level since 2004.