Polymarket Prices Former NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang’s SpaceX Role Odds at 7.45%

A Polymarket contract on former NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang joining SpaceX by year-end was priced at 7.45% Friday morning, after a brief spike following NVIDIA’s leadership change.

The contract stood at 5:30 a.m. ET (10:30 UTC) Friday, Nov. 13. It had about $89,500 in total trading volume, including $74,800 over the previous 24 hours.

For the SpaceX contract to resolve as “Yes,” an official announcement by 11:59 p.m. ET Dec. 31, 2026, must establish that Huang accepted or began a formal role in SpaceX’s corporate or governance structure. Qualifying roles include employee, executive, board member or adviser positions at SpaceX, SpaceXAI (formerly xAI), or other subsidiaries. An investment, business or research partnership, or private advice, would not qualify.

Before NVIDIA’s announcement, Elon Musk replied to an X post urging him to hire Huang: “That would be an honor.” The odds moved from 2.7% to 9.5% after Musk’s reply, then eased to about 6% within 30 minutes. Musk’s response came about half a day before NVIDIA announced Huang’s resignation as president, CEO and a member of its board, and named CFO Colette Kress interim CEO.

After the announcement, the contract rose from 6.2% at 8:50 a.m. ET (13:50 UTC) Nov. 12 to 16.75% at 9:55 a.m. ET (14:55 UTC), then fell to 8% about 20 minutes later.

A separate market on Huang’s next workplace by the end of 2027 priced “No new company before 2028” at 24.5%. SpaceX and “Founds new company” each stood at 12.5%. The market had about $6,100 in total trading volume, and its listed outcome prices added up to roughly 112%.