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Federal Reserve
688 TokenPost stories are tagged Federal Reserve. The newest appear first.
Latest Federal Reserve stories
- Cathie Wood Urges Fed to Account for AI-Driven Price Declines
She argues CPI and PPI miss some falling AI software and inference costs; any policy effect would depend on whether the Fed adopts her view.
· Insights & Views
- AI Investment Demand Could Add to U.S. Inflation Pressure, Strategist Says
Brian Jacobsen said core CPI rose 0.3% month over month again, while oil’s price effects had begun reaching the core measure.
· Regulation
- Markets Raise Bets on at Least Two Fed Hikes by Mid-2027 After CPI
The repricing concerns market expectations through mid-2027, not a Fed decision or announced policy change.
· Investing
- Markets Put December Fed Hike Odds at 98.9% Before October CPI
The pre-release snapshot assigned a 34.8% chance to cumulative rate increases of 50 basis points by January.
· Investing
- Markets Price 100% Chance of December Fed Hike Before CPI
A quarter-point increase accounts for 98.9% of the December outlook; markets also price in further increases by January.
· Investing
- Slower Global Rate Hikes May Ease a Headwind for Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) may face a less hostile macro backdrop if global rate-hike momentum continues to slow, despite rising U.S. odds of a December increase.
· Investing
- U.S. Stock Futures Diverge as Traders Await Inflation Report
S&P 500 futures gained less than 0.1%, while Nasdaq-100 futures fell 0.4%. WTI crude dropped 2% to about $85 a barrel, its lowest level since late August.
· Investing
- Economists Split on Whether December Will Be the Fed's Last Rate Hike
Fifty-six of 101 economists expect the December increase to end the cycle, while 45 forecast at least two more hikes. More than half of surveyed primary dealers share the latter view.
· Regulation
- Fed's Waller Favors December Rate Hike, Floats Larger Move
A monthly core CPI reading around 0.3% or higher would put a half-point increase on the table, he said.
· Regulation
- Crypto Market Capitalization Fell 9.1% as AI Capex Hit $230 Billion
U.S. spot Bitcoin funds posted about $516 million in net outflows, while Ether funds posted about $1.6 billion. Five major AI spenders’ third-quarter capex exceeded their $199 billion in operating cash flow.
· Investing
- Fed's Waller Says Prior Cuts May Need Reversing, Rejects 150- or 200-Basis-Point Hikes
He said officials may need to undo at least three precautionary cuts but do not want to inflict major damage on the economy.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Fell 1.3% as Waller Backed December Fed Rate Hike
The implied odds of a December increase climbed to 96.3% from 76.3% after Waller’s remarks; Nasdaq-100 futures also declined.
· Investing
- Fed’s Waller Calls for Reversing at Least Three Prior Rate Cuts
The call would unwind previous easing and marks a preference for tighter monetary policy.
· Regulation
- U.S. CPI Rose 0.4% in October as Rents and Grocery Prices Increased
The monthly increase was smaller than in September. Higher rents and grocery prices accounted for much of the gain.
· Investing
- October Core CPI Meets Waller’s Threshold to Consider a 50-Basis-Point Hike
Headline CPI rose 0.4%, down from 0.6% in September, while core CPI increased 0.3% for a third straight month.
· Regulation
- Markets Fully Price In a 25-Basis-Point Fed Hike in December
Traders have increased bets on a December rate increase, but the Fed has not announced a decision.
· Investing
- Waller Sees Solid U.S. Labor Market, Easing Pressure for 2026 Hikes
Unemployment held at 4.1%, while job openings fell to about 1.1 for every unemployed worker.
· Regulation
- Fed’s Waller Backs December Hike, Says 50 Basis Points May Be Needed
Waller tied a possible 50-basis-point move to October core CPI rising about 0.3% month over month or more.
· Regulation
- U.S. CPI Rose 0.4% in October Ahead of December Fed Meeting
Core prices rose 0.3%, matching September, while the next CPI report is scheduled for Dec. 10, after the Fed meets Dec. 8-9.
· Investing
- Ahuja Says Inflation Could Constrain Fed’s Ability to Ease Policy
He said higher financing costs and longer approval timelines could lower returns on capital-intensive AI projects, even if demand meets expectations.
· People
- Prediction Markets Price 2026 Fed Rate-Hike Odds Near 5%
Carol Lye linked moderating inflation and slower AI investment with the possibility of a Fed pause.
· Investing
- Falling oil prices could open path to Fed easing, benefiting Bitcoin and gold
Robert Van Botenberg said falling oil prices could ease inflation and support a dovish Fed shift, benefiting Bitcoin and gold. Renewed conflict with Iran could keep policy tight.
· Insights & Views
- Japan’s 30-Year Bond Yield Rises to 3.865% After Recent Auction
The auction involved about ¥600 billion in a reopened government bond maturing in September 2056.
· Investing
- Huobi HTX Analyst Sees Limited Near-Term Crypto Downside After Leverage Flush
Cloud cited negative funding and a nearly 20% weekly drop in perpetual futures open interest, while saying a rebound needs confirmation from inflation data.
· Investing
- Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin Says Rates May Need to Rise Further
He expects consumer spending to remain resilient through year-end but questioned how long that strength can last.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin faces rate-hike pressure as liquidity expansion shapes its long-term case
James Lavish says rate-hike concerns are weighing on Bitcoin, while Fed and Treasury liquidity operations remain central to its longer-term investment case.
· Insights & Views
- Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 19 Basis Points as Fed Hike Bets Rise
October core CPI rose 0.3% for a third straight month, while futures pointed to rate increases in December and January.
· Investing
- Bitcoin tests $73,731 support as Consorti argues summer low marked cycle bottom
Bitcoin tested its $73,731 moving average after a roughly 10% decline in six days. Joe Consorti argued that the summer low marked the cycle bottom despite pressure from rates and technology stocks.
· Investing
- Fed Approves Applications Tied to Mutual Federal Conversion
The proposed parent would have an estimated $107.1 million in assets under a midpoint offering scenario, but votes and a minimum share sale are still required.
· Regulation
- Federal Reserve’s World War I Role Centered on Treasury Debt Support
The New York Fed served as the Treasury’s fiscal agent for bond sales, while reserve requirements varied by bank class and deposit type.
· Insights & Views
- Federal Reserve Banks of New York and Dallas Start Direct Lending Survey Pilot
The pilot opened to eligible firms Nov. 9 and focuses on the U.S. private credit direct lending market.
· Investing
- Barkin Urges Fed Caution as Inflation Stays High and Demand Remains Healthy
He said risks to the demand outlook remain easy to foresee, despite a clear broad direction for monetary policy.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Falls to $72,787 After CPI as Crypto Liquidations Top $632M
October CPI rose 0.4% month over month. The implied probability of a December Fed rate increase climbed to 85% from 77%.
· Investing
- Chicago Fed's Goolsbee Says Inflation Remains the Fed's Weak Spot
He said employment and growth remain stable. The Fed held its target range at 3.75% to 4% in October.
· Regulation
- Goolsbee Sees Economic Overheating in Data Center Buildout
The Chicago Fed president said services inflation is rising even as employment and growth remain relatively stable.
· Regulation
- Crypto Long Liquidations Hit $178 Million Within an Hour of October CPI
Bitcoin fell below $74,000 as both headline and core U.S. inflation readings exceeded forecasts.
· Investing
- U.S. Inflation Slows to 0.4% in October
The monthly increase eased from 0.6% in September. Missing October 2025 survey data left most annual comparisons unavailable.
· Investing
- U.S. Consumer Prices Rise 0.4% in October, Exceeding Forecasts
Core inflation rose 0.3%, also above expectations, while the headline monthly increase slowed from September.
· Investing
- Philippine Central Bank Governor Says Rate Explanations Shape Behavior
Eli M. Remolona, Jr. said the narrative behind a policy rate can influence how people respond to monetary policy.
· Regulation
- FinCEN and Fed Withdraw 2020 Crypto Transfer Rule Proposal
The plan would have lowered the threshold for certain cross-border transfers from $3,000 to $250. The agencies set no date for a replacement proposal.
· Regulation