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Federal Reserve
688 TokenPost stories are tagged Federal Reserve. The newest appear first.
Latest Federal Reserve stories
- Strong U.S. Jobs Data Lifts December Fed Hike Bets as NVIDIA Board Opens Probe
October payrolls rose by 165,000 against a 65,000 estimate. The Nov. 10 CPI report is the next test for the Fed’s renewed focus on inflation control.
· Investing
- Market Forecast Puts December Fed Rate Hike Odds at 77%
The no-change scenario stood at 23%, while the forecast event recorded $16.7 million in trading volume.
· Investing
- FinCEN, Fed Withdraw $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Proposal
The Nov. 9 withdrawal also ends proposed wording that would have explicitly covered certain digital-asset transactions. The existing $3,000 threshold remains.
· Regulation
- U.S. CPI, PPI and AI Earnings Set This Week’s Market Agenda
October inflation data arrives Tuesday, with producer prices due Friday. CoreWeave, Nebius and Cisco also report as futures price an 80% chance of a December Fed hike.
· Investing
- Tom Lee Says AI Stock Repricing Has Gone Too Far, Fed May Skip December Hike
He said a post-election policy shock has intensified concerns about AI construction, while productivity data could make another Fed rate increase less likely.
· People
- XRP Trading Volume Reaches $2.62 Billion Before U.S. Inflation Reports
A market snapshot also showed a 182% volume-change reading around 5 a.m. ET (10:00 UTC) Monday.
· Investing
- U.S. Productivity Rose 3.6% as Unit Labor Costs Fell 0.7%
Hourly compensation increased 2.9% at an annualized rate, while unit labor costs remained 2.4% higher than a year earlier.
· Insights & Views
- Democratic Sweep and AI Selloff Rattle U.S. Markets as Jobs Data Lifts Rate Bets
The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and traders priced an 80% chance of a December Fed rate hike after employers added 165,000 jobs in October.
· Investing
- Mary Daly Says Fed Is Ready to Raise Rates Further if Needed
Daly said the Fed still needs to tighten, but officials need more information before deciding how much further to go and when to act.
· Regulation
- Gold Futures Retreat as Strong U.S. Jobs Data Lifts Dollar, Yields
October payrolls increased by 165,000, while interest-rate futures put the implied chance of a December quarter-point Fed hike at 80%.
· Investing
- Bimini Weighs Debt Paydown as Fed Hikes Could Raise Funding Costs
Management tied the consideration to possible higher funding costs and described the third quarter as difficult for leveraged mortgage-backed securities investors.
· Business
- Federal Reserve Releases Figures Showing September Credit Rose $27.84 Billion
The increase followed a revised $8.19 billion gain in August. Consumer credit grew at a 4.2% annualized rate in the third quarter.
· Investing
- Bowman Says Cybersecurity Is a Major Concern for Bankers
She also urged government agencies to coordinate against fraud and said the Federal Reserve has developed third-party risk guidance for some banks.
· Regulation
- Fed Rate-Hike Odds Rise to 76% as Inflation Stays Above Target
The policy rate is 3.75% to 4%, while U.S. consumer price inflation reached 3.7% year over year in September.
· Investing
- Bitcoin (BTC) Fell After Seven Fed Hikes Since 2016 Following One-Meeting Pauses
The median 30-day decline across those seven cycles was 2.4%. Market pricing put the odds of a Dec. 9 increase at 67.5% at 12:45 p.m. ET Nov. 5.
· Investing
- FinCEN and Fed Withdraw Proposal to Lower Transfer Threshold to $250
The 2020 plan also addressed convertible virtual currency and digital assets with legal tender status. The current threshold remains $3,000.
· Regulation
- Hassett Says Inflation Should Slow and He Will Respect Fed Judgment
The statement gave no inflation figure or timeline for the expected slowdown.
· Regulation
- U.S. October Payrolls Rise 165,000, Beating Forecast by 100,000
September payrolls were revised up to 60,000 from 29,000. Short-term interest-rate futures fell after the Nov. 6 release as traders raised December rate-hike bets.
· Investing
- U.S. Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1% in October, Below Forecast
The rate was 4.2% previously, matching the forecast for October.
· Investing
- Traders Raise December Fed Rate-Hike Bets After Strong Jobs Report
Payrolls rose by 165,000 in October and unemployment fell to 4.1%; the Fed will receive another jobs report and inflation data before its December meeting.
· Investing
- Fed Rate-Hike Odds Reached 72.8% Before October Jobs Report
For January, market pricing put the chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase at 63.4% and a cumulative 50-basis-point increase at 15.1%.
· Investing
- Fed's Williams Says Inflation Has Stayed Too High Too Long
He made the assessment before the Nov. 6 U.S. jobs report and described the labor market as steady and strong.
· Regulation
- Treasury Market Pricing Points to Chance of Five-Year Yield Below 4.10% Before 2027
Pre-release forecasts called for 59,000 October payroll additions and a 4.2% unemployment rate.
· Investing
- U.S. Stock Selloff Sends Investors Into Treasuries Ahead of Jobs Report
The 10-year Treasury yield hit its lowest level since early September on Thursday, while options positions showed bets on further declines.
· Investing
- Markets Price Fed and ECB Paths More Hawkishly Than Indosuez's Baseline
Money markets are pricing about 1.5 Federal Reserve rate hikes and two European Central Bank increases over the next 12 months.
· Investing
- Goldman Sachs Cuts Gold Targets While Keeping Long-Term Bullish View
The bank set its year-end 2026 forecast at $4,150 an ounce and its end-2027 target at $4,800. Stephen Innes said restrictive Fed policy is weakening private investor demand.
· Investing
- Further Crude and Refined Fuel Price Gains Could Push U.S. Rates Higher
The U.S. two-year nominal interest rate swap is up 113 basis points year to date, including a 196-basis-point gain on days oil prices rose.
· Investing
- U.S. Tech Selloff Dents Bets on a December Fed Rate Hike
The Bank of England voted eight to one to raise its policy rate to 4%, its first increase in more than three years.
· Investing
- Federal Reserve and OCC Contact Banks After Binance Security Incident
The incident affected about $6.34 billion in digital assets; about $2.85 billion had been frozen or intercepted by the incident report’s release.
· Regulation
- U.S. Adds 165,000 Jobs as Dollar Posts Its Biggest Gain Since June
Unemployment fell to 4.1%, while markets priced in nearly an 80% chance of a quarter-point Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
· Investing
- Fed Rate Expectations Can Shift Market Rates Before Decisions
A historical estimate links a one-percentage-point rise in the shadow federal funds rate to a decline in a seven-token crypto factor over two weeks, without measuring Bitcoin’s response to a cut.
· Investing
- Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin Says Gradual Rate Hikes Remain Reasonable
He said demand remains robust, though some sectors have not felt it, and that he sees no current sign of inflation easing.
· Regulation
- Hammack Says Dollar Remains World’s Leading Reserve Currency
The Cleveland Fed president also said the Federal Reserve has earned credibility through its actions and favors frequent, small rate adjustments.
· Regulation
- Democratic Control Narrows Trump’s Room to Reshape the Fed
Fed governor nominees need Senate confirmation, while markets weigh another rate increase in December.
· Regulation
- Bank of America’s Cabana Says More Than Three Fed Hikes May Be Needed
The federal-funds target range is 3.75% to 4.00%, and the effective rate was 3.88% in early November.
· Regulation
- Election Backlash May Ease Political Pressure on Fed Chair Warsh
Claudia Sahm said another rate hike may not be needed if the election results prompt Trump to end the Iran conflict and abandon further tariff increases.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Holds Near $75,000 as October Jobs Exceed Forecasts
U.S. employers added 165,000 jobs, while interest-rate futures put the chance of a quarter-point Fed hike in December at 79%.
· Investing
- [Macro index] Brent drops 13.1% in a week as risk-asset conditions score 51
Brent fell 13.1% over the week while the macro index held at a neutral 51. Money growth and liquidity offset pressure from elevated yields and dollar strength.
· Investing
- Macro Analyst Roberto Rios Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach $300,000 This Cycle
He also said the market was pricing in more Federal Reserve money creation and further fiat debasement.
· Insights & Views
- White House Panel Delays Lisa Cook Inquiry Hearing to Dec. 14
The hearing was postponed at Cook’s request as her lawyer raised concerns about the panel’s fairness and her schedule in Europe.
· Regulation