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Treasury Yields
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Latest Treasury Yields stories
- Bitcoin Falls 14% in a Week as Weekend Selling Breaks Friday’s Low
BTC traded near $65,200 Saturday morning after slipping below Friday’s $67,555 low, its weakest level since mid-August.
· Investing
- Markets Price Three Fed Hikes From December 2026 to March 2027
October CPI rose 0.4% month over month, while the 12-month comparison was unavailable. Fed officials remain divided over the pace of further increases.
· Investing
- [Macro index] US two-year yield rises 0.22 percentage points in a week as risk backdrop scores 54
The US two-year Treasury yield rose 0.22 percentage points to 4.73%. Money supply and Fed liquidity supported a neutral macro index reading of 54 as yields and the dollar weighed on risk assets.
· Investing
- Polymarket Prices 40% Chance of 5-Year Treasury Yield Hitting 5.15% by Dec. 31
The contract’s implied probability rose 30% in 24 hours. It settles against Treasury yield data for Dec. 31, 2026, with a Jan. 14, 2027, fallback deadline.
· Investing
- Goldman Sachs Forecasts 10-Year Treasury Yield at 4.6% by 2027 End
The strategists describe Treasury valuations as low and yields as attractive, while saying the recent rise in yields is pressuring markets.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Faces Pressure as October CPI Pushes 10-Year Yield Toward 5%
Core CPI rose 0.3%, matching each of the previous two monthly readings. Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said a similar October reading at around 0.3% or higher would put a 50-basis-point December hike under co…
· Investing
- Bitcoin Falls Below $72,000 as Markets Price Three Fed Hikes by March
The two-year Treasury yield reached 4.87% in two trading sessions, while gold fell to its lowest level since September 2025.
· Investing
- Nasdaq-100 Keeps 27,200 Range Floor in Focus as Gordon Tracks Semis
The index recovered after slipping below 27,200 last week. Gordon is watching for the SMH/SPY ratio to rise above 0.72 as a sign of returning semiconductor leadership.
· Investing
- Weak Demand at 30-Year Treasury Auction Sends 10-Year Yield Above 5.10%
Indirect bidders took 68.1% of the awards, below their recent average, while dealers received their largest share since June.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Rise as Bond Trading Resumes After Veterans Day
The two-year yield added five basis points to 4.7800%, while the 10-year yield rose two basis points to 5.0100%.
· Investing
- Aging Americans Linked to Greater U.S. Corporate Bond Demand
The demographic shift is consistent with demand growth, while rising Treasury yields pressure bond prices and raise borrowing costs for companies.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Rise as October CPI Beats 0.3% Forecast
The 0.4% monthly increase exceeded the 0.3% forecast by 0.1 percentage point.
· Investing
- U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises 9.03 Basis Points to 4.952%
The two-year yield climbed 16.54 basis points to 4.715%, a larger increase than the 10-year benchmark recorded after CPI data.
· Investing
- MissionSquare Says U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Could Face Resistance at 5%
MissionSquare is a U.S. investment manager.
· Investing
- Ray Dalio Warns Post-Election Funding Fights Could Lift Short-Term Yields
He cited a Dec. 11 funding expiration and projected debt and Treasury funding pressures in 2027 as potential political flashpoints.
· Investing
- Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 19 Basis Points as Fed Hike Bets Rise
October core CPI rose 0.3% for a third straight month, while futures pointed to rate increases in December and January.
· Investing
- Kindig Maintains $2 Million Bitcoin Target, Expects Another Drop
A break below $70,315 and then $62,450 would strengthen I/O Fund’s case for a move toward $30,000.
· Investing
- U.S. Real Estate Shares Gain as Treasury Yields Fall After Midterms
Democrats won both chambers of Congress in the Nov. 3 election. U.S. real estate shares also advanced after the vote.
· Investing
- Wall Street Strategists See Federal Debt Reaching the $41.1 Trillion Limit by February
The federal debt limit rose by $5 trillion in 2025. The forecast points to limited borrowing capacity and possible effects on Treasury yields and fiscal policy.
· Insights & Views
- Treasury Market Pricing Points to Chance of Five-Year Yield Below 4.10% Before 2027
Pre-release forecasts called for 59,000 October payroll additions and a 4.2% unemployment rate.
· Investing
- Gold and Silver Rise as Dollar Weakens After Democrats’ Projected Gains
Spot gold climbed 3.4% to $4,061.30 an ounce and spot silver rose 5.1% to $52.29 on Nov. 4 as the 10-year Treasury yield also fell.
· Investing
- 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.84% as Midterms Raise Prospect of Less Supply
Yields across maturities fell at least three basis points Thursday, while the dollar index slipped 0.2% as markets weighed possible limits on spending plans.
· Investing
- Gold Falls to $3,900 as Investors Weigh U.S. Midterm Results
Spot gold recovered slightly after touching the level, while elevated Treasury yields, a firm dollar and expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening continued to limit its rebound.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Stay Near Flat After Democrats Win Control of Congress
The 10-year yield rose less than one basis point to 4.954%, while the 30-year and two-year yields each gained one basis point.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Chart Marks $76,340 as Support After Channel Breakdown
A chart assessment shows Bitcoin below a descending channel and retesting its lower edge as resistance. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.9%.
· Investing
- Nasdaq 100 Lost More Than $2 Trillion in October as Investors Question AI Returns
Investors shifted toward safe-haven bonds during October. Leverage and concentrated AI exposures could amplify a market correction.
· Investing
- Cramer Says Oil Drop Lifted Monday’s Broad Stock Rally, Warns Gains May Fade
Brent crude fell 7.63% to $104.77 a barrel, while the 10-year Treasury yield touched its lowest level since Sept. 10.
· Investing
- Survey Finds 72% Bullish on Bitcoin if Republicans Control Congress
In that scenario, 29% expected Bitcoin to end the year above $100,000. Respondents’ stock and bond outlooks varied with control of Congress.
· Investing
- BMO Economist Says Slower AI Spending Could Ease Fed Inflation Pressure
Jennifer Lee said a pullback could ease demand for energy, labor and capital, while labor shortages and automation continue to support long-term demand for AI infrastructure.
· Investing
- Utilities Sector (XLU) Rises 10.12% in October as Exelon Leads
XLU outperformed the S&P 500, which fell 0.94%. Regulated electric utilities and water companies filled the five top-gainer spots.
· Investing
- U.S. Real Estate Stocks Outperform as Treasury Yields Fall in October
The Fed held interest rates steady, while an executive order directed the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to develop a mortgage insurance pilot.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Trades 3.2% Lower as U.S. Stocks Slide and Treasury Yields Ease
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $424 million in inflows over three consecutive days, including $176 million on Tuesday.
· Investing
- Seven-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 4.894% Ahead of $44 Billion Auction
The previous seven-year auction on Sept. 24 produced a 5.085% high yield, the highest accepted rate for that sale.
· Insights & Views
- SMBC Sees Limited Treasury Impact From U.S. Midterm Election
A Democratic sweep could add $1.5 trillion in health spending over 10 years; restoring Affordable Care Act subsidies could cost $80 billion over three years and $350 billion over 10 years.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of Fed Decision as 10-Year Tops 5%
The 10-year yield rose more than two basis points to 5.0134%. Traders put the odds of no change to the Fed’s target range at 90.6%.
· Investing
- JPMorgan Private Bank Strategist Yuxuan Tang Sees Downside Risk for Gold
Tang expects Federal Reserve rate increases in December 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, with the 10-year Treasury yield peaking at 5.25% to 5.5% by mid-2027.
· Investing
- Risk-Sensitive Currencies Have Favored U.S. Stocks and Rising Treasury Yields
The pattern links currency strength with periods when U.S. stocks and Treasury yields rise together. It may weaken when inflation concerns or risk premiums push yields higher.
· Investing
- 30-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Is Unchanged at 5.304% Tuesday
The yield rose after U.S. economic data was released, before its latest reading was unchanged.
· Investing
- Bitcoin's Scarcity Narrative Meets Stock-Like Trading in Risk Selloffs
Bitcoin (BTC) has a supply cap of about 21 million coins, but its trading can move with stocks. Interest rates, the dollar and investors' appetite for risk help explain the difference.
· Investing
- AI Spending Doubts Push Bond ETF Inflows to $58 Billion as Tech Stocks Slide
The Nasdaq-100 logged its weakest two-week stretch since April 2025, while the 10-year Treasury yield closed below 5% for the first time in a month.
· Investing