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Federal Reserve
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Latest Federal Reserve stories
- Bitcoin and Gold Fall as Rate Risks Weigh on October Markets
Bitcoin traded near $83,000 and spot gold tested $4,100 on Oct. 7 after the Federal Reserve raised its policy range to 3.75%-4% in September.
· Investing
- Bitcoin Drops Below $83,000 as Oil Surge Raises Rate Concerns
Bitcoin fell nearly 4% over 24 hours as Brent crude topped $102 and U.S. borrowing costs climbed, pressuring stocks and other assets.
· Investing
- Treasury 10-Year Yield Hits 5.35% as Bitcoin Falls Below $83,000
The 30-year yield reached 5.724%, while Ether fell 6% as markets awaited a $39 billion 10-year note auction and Federal Reserve minutes.
· Investing
- U.S. Futures Fall as 30-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 5.70%
Dow Jones futures dropped 0.7%, while oil moved closer to $100 a barrel after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 closed at records Tuesday.
· Investing
- U.S. Average Hourly Earnings Rise 0.1%, May Limit Fed Tightening
Average hourly earnings rose 0.1% in September from August, extending the slowdown in pay growth as investors await the Fed’s September meeting minutes.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Stay Above Forecasts as Strategists See Gradual Decline
A survey of nearly 60 fixed-income strategists projects the 10-year Treasury yield will reach 5% by year-end, 4.90% in six months and 4.75% in one year.
· Investing
- Dollar, Treasury Yields Pressure Gold Ahead of Fed Minutes
The dollar index neared 102.30 while the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.324%, adding pressure to gold as traders seek clues on further Fed tightening.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Rise as $39 Billion 10-Year Note Auction Nears
The 10-year yield rose 3 basis points to 5.307% Wednesday as investors awaited the auction and Federal Reserve meeting minutes due later in the day.
· Investing
- U.S. Economic Calendar Sets Mortgage, Oil and Fed Releases for Oct. 7
The Mortgage Bankers’ Association, Energy Information Administration and Federal Reserve have scheduled updates Wednesday.
· Investing
- Fed Minutes May Clarify Whether September Hike Starts Further Tightening
The minutes are due Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET (18:00 UTC), with markets focused on financial conditions, real interest rates and inflation.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Slips Below $84,000 as Oil Tops $100 Amid Tanker Tensions
Bitcoin touched roughly $83,840 during Asian trading as Brent crude climbed nearly 1% and the dollar strengthened amid heightened Strait of Hormuz tensions.
· Investing
- Fed’s October Rate-Hike Probability Stands at 19.4% on Oct. 7
The probability of no change in rates was 80.6%.
· Investing
- Fed Plans Five-Region Bank Oversight Structure, Will Review Thresholds
Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman outlined the plan in prepared remarks on Oct. 6. The Fed will consider adjusting asset-size thresholds later this year.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Holds Above $84,000 as Traders Await Fed Minutes
Bitcoin traded above $86,000 Tuesday after briefly touching $85,200. Federal Reserve minutes from its Sept. 15-16 meeting are due Wednesday.
· Investing
- Julius Baer Expects December Fed Hike to Be Its Last for Now
The bank forecasts a 25-basis-point increase followed by an extended pause, pointing to a cooling U.S. labor market and tighter financial conditions.
· Investing
- Gold Falls 0.3% as Dollar and Treasury Yields Weigh on Prices
Spot gold was $4,128.69 an ounce in an early Tuesday snapshot. Lower expectations for an October Fed rate hike offered some support.
· Investing
- U.S. Treasury Yields Ease From 24-Year Highs Ahead of Fed Minutes
The 10-year yield stood at 5.302% Tuesday morning after reaching its highest level since April 2002 in the prior session. Minutes from the Fed’s September meeting are due Oct. 7.
· Investing
- Fed Rate Hold Odds Reach 77.3% for October, Increase Scenario Leads by December
A cumulative 25-basis-point increase is the largest increase scenario listed for December, at 67.8%.
· Investing
- Bitcoin’s Reported Second Golden Cross Follows Retreat From Near $87,400
Bitcoin traded around $86,000 on Oct. 5 after approaching $87,400. The reported moving-average crossover remains a chart analysis claim.
· Investing
- G7 Sets Four-Month Fuel Release Plan With Diesel Frontloaded
The 100 million-barrel plan includes a substantial diesel release in its first 20 days. Any effect on Bitcoin and rate expectations depends on whether fuel prices ease.
· Investing
- Fed Governor Waller Says AI Payments Need Clear Authorization Rules
Christopher J. Waller outlined two models for AI shopping agents and raised questions about liability and fraud controls at a Sept. 29 speech.
· Technology
- Williams Says Late-2026 Fed Rate Hike May Be Appropriate
He expects inflation to ease to just above 2% next year and reach the Fed’s 2% goal in 2028. Williams said policymakers have time to assess incoming data.
· Regulation
- Tom Lee Says Softer Inflation Could Ease Fed Stance as Tech Stocks Hit Records
Lee said inflation readings may soften over the next six months as one-time price pressures fade, potentially easing uncertainty around bond yields.
· People
- U.S. September Jobs Gain 29,000 as July Payrolls Turn Negative
Unemployment held at 4.2%, while hourly earnings rose 3.0% over the year. August inflation remained above the Fed’s 2% target.
· Business
- Slok Warns Higher Rates Could Pressure Housing Supply and Rents
August housing starts and completions both fell from a year earlier. The figures do not show that interest rates caused the declines.
· Regulation
- September Payrolls Increase by 29,000 as Fed Sets October Dates
Unemployment held at 4.2%, while average hourly earnings rose 3.0% over the 12 months through September.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Stays Below Its 2026 Opening Price After Brief $87,000 Move
Bitcoin closed the week at $86,532 after briefly reaching $87,000. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to release meeting minutes Wednesday, Oct. 7.
· Investing
- Treasury Yields Slip as Traders Cut Bets on Another Fed Rate Hike
The 10-year yield fell to 5.255% Monday. Investors are watching the Fed’s September meeting minutes, due Wednesday, and a services report scheduled for Monday.
· Investing
- U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Take In $134.4 Million Over Two Sessions
Funds attracted $102.7 million on Oct. 1 and $31.7 million on Oct. 2 after a $148.7 million outflow on Sept. 30.
· Investing
- ISM Services Report and Fed Minutes Set Bitcoin’s Oct. 5-7 Calendar
The ISM report is scheduled for Oct. 5 at 10 a.m. ET, followed by minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September meeting on Oct. 7 at 2 p.m. ET.
· Investing
- Huatai Sees December Fed Hike as Base Case After Weak Jobs Report
The firm expects the September payroll report to reduce the urgency for consecutive rate hikes in the short term. It sees October payrolls staying weak before a possible rebound.
· Investing
- Trump Says Federal Reserve Building Renovation Will Face Independent Audit
Trump called reports about the renovation “lies” and said Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh had announced an in-depth audit.
· Regulation
- Fed Reserve Balances Fell $88.236 Billion on Sept. 30 Snapshot
The weekly average rose $17.897 billion, while the Treasury General Account and reverse repurchase agreements also increased that day.
· Investing
- Hassett Says U.S. Should Not Use Inflation to Reduce Its Debt
The White House National Economic Council director called the current level of interest payments unacceptable and said the president is serious about reducing the deficit.
· Regulation
- Cardillo Sees Fed Holding Rates in October After Below-Forecast Data
Job gains fell short of expectations, while the PCE price index also came in below forecasts. Cardillo said wages showed no inflationary pressure.
· Investing
- U.S. Payrolls Add 29,000 in September as Unemployment Rate Reaches 4.2%
The job gain fell 55,000 short of expectations, while unemployment rose from 4.1% in August.
· Business
- Trump Says Inflation Could Help Pay Down the U.S. National Debt
He also pointed to economic growth, but did not specify an inflation level or outline a policy to reduce the debt.
· Regulation
- Bitcoin Gains About 13% From Approximate Price on Fed Hike Day
Bitcoin was about $75,600 on Sept. 16 and around $85,500 in an Oct. 2 snapshot. The comparison uses approximate prices, not historical daily closes.
· Investing
- U.S. Household Wealth Rises as Labor Share Hits a Record Low
Buy now, pay later providers issued an estimated $156.7 billion in U.S. consumer credit in 2025, while household net worth gained $12.8 trillion in the second quarter of 2026.
· Regulation
- September U.S. Jobs Report Is Scheduled for Friday Release
Payrolls are forecast to grow by 90,000, while unemployment is expected to stay at 4.1% for a third straight month.
· Investing